Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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PA-01 House election: Bob Harvie vote percent
The odds
49.14%median
40%58%
Median 49.14%Middle half 46.9% – 51.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.84% on Oct 20, 49.14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 44% | 95% | ▲ 2 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 46% | 84% | ▲ 4 | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | |
| At least 48% | 64% | ▲ 4 | 59¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | |
| At least 50% | 40% | ▲ 2 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 200 |
| At least 52% | 19% | ▲ 4 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | |
| At least 54% | 6% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| At least 56% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Bob Harvie
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Bob Harvie narrowly leads Brian Fitzpatrick in Bucks County’s closely watched U.S. House race, new poll findsA new Inquirer/New York Times/Siena University poll of 1st District voters finds that Democrat Bob Harvie is leading U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick 48% to 46%. Democrat Bob Harvie holds a narrow lead over Republican U.S. Rep. Brian… -
Pa. House passes bill to limit automatic license plate readersCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pa. House… -
"All Sides Now:" Pa. House District 143The candidates running in the 2026 Pa. House District 143 are, from left, Democrat Tim Hayes, independent Christopher Gambino and Republican Shelby Labs. It's a right-leaning district, according to the most recent voter registration data… -
'Brave' Bob Brooks Bravely Runs Away From PA House DebateI am a big fan of the British comedy group Monty Python. Their second-best movie (after "Monty Python’s Life of Brian") is "Monty Python and the Holy Grail." This is a comedy about the legendary King Arthur of Britain and his knights of… -
Does Brian Fitzpatrick’s challenger, Bob Harvie, have ‘FBI files’ to release? Pa. legal experts say it’s unlikelyPHILADELPHIA — On a screen filtered by night-vision goggles, U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick’s campaign asks voters in a digital ad to “decide” between the Republican lawmaker deployed to Iraq as an al-Qaeda interrogator and his Democratic… -
Election 2026: Candidates stake out positions in in 147th Dist. PA House raceA former management consultant with an MBA and scientist with a Ph.D. is looking to oust the incumbent Republican in the race for the Pennsylvania 147th House District race. Margaret Burke, 58, is the Democratic candidate seeking to unseat… -
‘It’s worth it to me’: Michigan voter weighs in on Trump’s tariffsCNN's Arlette Saenz spoke with Michigan voters at rallies held by former President Barack Obama in Detroit and President Donald Trump in Port Huron about the economy and its influence on their voting decisions. Former President Barack… -
PA House Approves Support For Shrinking News Operations Across StateHARRISBURG, PA —The state House has approved a legislative package intended to help support struggling and shrinking news operations across Pennsylvania. Approved on Wednesday were two measures introduced by Christopher Rabb, a… -
White House official quips Nicki Minaj could be new press secretaryWhite House communications director Steven Cheung posted a video of himself and rapper Nicki Minaj chatting on Air Force One, with captions saying they “may have found” the new White House press secretary. They were both on their way to a… -
"Both Sides Now:" Pa. House District 141Democrat Tina Marie Davis and Republican Kenneth James Velez are running for state representative in Pennsylvania House District 141 in 2026. The district leans to the left with 22,216 voters registering as Democrats and 14,444 registered… -
PA House and Senate pass ban on phones in schools, recent study suggests the effects will be minimal - Glenside LocalOctober 22nd, 2026 | By Ryan Genova The Pennsylvania House and Senate have passed a bell-to-bell ban on cellphones in schools. The Senate approved Senate Bill 1014 47-3 on Wednesday after the State House passed it earlier this week by a… -
Ukrainian President Zelensky confirms access to Starshield has been restoredAfter a week of slow Starlink speeds hindering Ukrainian military operations, the Ukrainian defense ministry announced on Saturday that full access to the military grade internet service has been restored. Voter turnout is already high in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions