Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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PA-01 House election: Brian Fitzpatrick vote percent
The odds
50%median
42%60%
Median 50%Middle half 47.88% – 52.19%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.55% on Oct 19, 50% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 46% | 90% | ▼ 4 | 85¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| At least 48% | 74% | ▼ 7 | 69¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | |
| At least 50% | 50% | ▼ 8 | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | |
| At least 52% | 27% | ▼ 9 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | |
| At least 54% | 11% | ▼ 5 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| At least 56% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Brian Fitzpatrick
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Bob Harvie narrowly leads Brian Fitzpatrick in Bucks County’s closely watched U.S. House race, new poll findsA new Inquirer/New York Times/Siena University poll of 1st District voters finds that Democrat Bob Harvie is leading U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick 48% to 46%. Democrat Bob Harvie holds a narrow lead over Republican U.S. Rep. Brian… -
In Pennsylvania's 1st District, incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick faces tough reelection fight: "All hands on deck"October 21, 2026 / 7:44 PM EDT / CBS Philadelphia Pennsylvania has once again become the battleground to watch in a major election. In this year's midterms, the commonwealth is host to four congressional races — for seats currently held by… -
Pa. House passes bill to limit automatic license plate readersCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pa. House… -
"All Sides Now:" Pa. House District 143The candidates running in the 2026 Pa. House District 143 are, from left, Democrat Tim Hayes, independent Christopher Gambino and Republican Shelby Labs. It's a right-leaning district, according to the most recent voter registration data… -
'Brave' Bob Brooks Bravely Runs Away From PA House DebateI am a big fan of the British comedy group Monty Python. Their second-best movie (after "Monty Python’s Life of Brian") is "Monty Python and the Holy Grail." This is a comedy about the legendary King Arthur of Britain and his knights of… -
House Republican says Elon Musk may have broken the law, calls for investigation into Ukraine satellite restrictions: 'There's gotta be consequences,' Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick saysRep. Brian Fitzpatrick is calling for a congressional investigation into billionaire Elon Musk following reports that he ordered restrictions on a critical satellite service used by Ukraine's military, with the Pennsylvania Republican… -
Brian Fitzpatrick calls for investigation into Elon Musk’s reported actions in Ukraine“We got to call the witnesses, to to bring them in, put them under oath, and get to the bottom of it ‚” Fitzpatrick said of the reported Starlink slowdown. Republican U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick said he would be willing to put Elon Musk… -
Election 2026: Candidates stake out positions in in 147th Dist. PA House raceA former management consultant with an MBA and scientist with a Ph.D. is looking to oust the incumbent Republican in the race for the Pennsylvania 147th House District race. Margaret Burke, 58, is the Democratic candidate seeking to unseat… -
PA House Approves Support For Shrinking News Operations Across StateHARRISBURG, PA —The state House has approved a legislative package intended to help support struggling and shrinking news operations across Pennsylvania. Approved on Wednesday were two measures introduced by Christopher Rabb, a… -
Pa. GOP Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick calls for investigation into Elon Musk’s reported actions in UkrainePHILADELPHIA — Pennsylvania Republican U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick said he would be willing to put Elon Musk, the world’s richest person, under federal oath to investigate potential violations of law related to national security in… -
"Both Sides Now:" Pa. House District 141Democrat Tina Marie Davis and Republican Kenneth James Velez are running for state representative in Pennsylvania House District 141 in 2026. The district leans to the left with 22,216 voters registering as Democrats and 14,444 registered… -
PA House and Senate pass ban on phones in schools, recent study suggests the effects will be minimal - Glenside LocalOctober 22nd, 2026 | By Ryan Genova The Pennsylvania House and Senate have passed a bell-to-bell ban on cellphones in schools. The Senate approved Senate Bill 1014 47-3 on Wednesday after the State House passed it earlier this week by a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions