Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-04 House election: Jeanine Driscoll vote percent
The odds
43.55%median
32%52%
Median 43.55%Middle half 40.64% – 46.23%
How the odds have moved
Median: 43.17% on Oct 19, 43.55% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 38% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 40% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| At least 42% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 253 | |
| At least 44% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 221 | |
| At least 46% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 48% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 50% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Jeanine Driscoll
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - New York 4th District Election 2026: Laura Gillen vs. Jeanine DriscollMLB Picks Tampa Bay Rays Cleveland Guardians NFL Picks College Football Picks Politics News Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers The candidates have vastly divergent political ideologies, but the incumbent, Representative Gillen, is…
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Iran war looms over the midtermsBy MADISON FERNANDEZ with NICK REISMAN and CHRIS SOMMERFELDT 10/21/2026 06:00 AM EDT Presented by Transport Workers Union of America With help from Molly Reinmann HAPPY WEDNESDAY. Madison Fernandez here. On tap, we have a look at how the… - As midterms near, Long Island congressional districts seen as key battlegroundsHakeem Jeffries, the House minority leader, speaks during a rally for Democratic candidates at Mirelle's Restaurant in Westbury on Saturday. Credit: Jeff Bachner WESTBURY — Ten days before the midterm elections, national congressional…
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Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
Power & Politics: Long Island congressional candidates discuss affordability, immigration and key issues ahead of Election DayOct 18, 2026, 12:59 PM News 12's Rich Barrabi sat down with Jeanine Driscoll, the Republican candidate for New York's 4th Congressional District. The Hempstead Town Receiver of Taxes is challenging freshman incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in… - 30 Issues in 30 Days: ICE in NY-4Billy House, Washington/Congress reporter for Newsday, talks about the issue of immigration and ICE funding in New York's 4th Congressional district, where the incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen is trying to fend off a challenge from…
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Power & Politics: Suffolk town supervisors push for change in tax cap calculation; Vote 2026 debates; Flock camera falloutOct 11, 2026, 2:54 PM There is a push in Suffolk County to change the way a cap designed to make Long Islanders' taxes a little less taxing to be calculated. A bipartisan group of Suffolk town supervisors are blaming the state's 2%… -
As Democrats Eye Big Midterm Wins, Republicans Look to Turn the Tables in Some House DistrictsNational organizations are pumping money behind candidates that Republicans hope can provide bright spots. Here’s a look at places where that cash bump — and prime issues like redistricting, immigration and top-of-the-ticket races — might…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions