Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-03 House election: Tom Suozzi vote percent
The odds
53.95%median
46%66%
Median 53.95%Middle half 51.31% – 56.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.13% on Oct 19, 53.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 50% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 52% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 70.00 | |
| At least 54% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 56% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 58% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 60% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 62% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Tom Suozzi
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - Rep. Tom Suozzi snubbed by Long Island hometown cops as union backs GOP opponentLong Island Rep. Tom Suozzi was snubbed by cops in his own hometown — who ditched him to endorse Republican Michael LiPetri instead. The Glen Cove City Police Benevolent Association changed course after supporting the incumbent Democrat…
- Takeaways from the debate between Rep. Tom Suozzi and challenger Mike LiPetriRep. Tom Suozzi (D-Glen Cove), left, and Mike LiPetri, a former Assemblyman from Farmingdale, debate on Tuesday at the News 12 studios. Credit: News 12 Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-Glen Cove) and Republican challenger Mike LiPetri traded…
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Where do I vote in NYC? Early voting starts SaturdayThe Nov. 3 midterm elections are less than two weeks away, and New Yorkers will be able to vote early beginning this Saturday, Oct. 24. For New York City residents, there are four key races to watch out for. Incumbent Democratic Gov. Kathy… -
Rep. Suozzi: ‘Affordability’ should be ‘day one’ focus if Dems win HouseRep. Tom Suozzi joins Morning Joe to discuss his re-election campaign and what Democrats should prioritize if they win the House. He argues the party should focus on affordability and rebuilding the middle class, and calls for… -
Republican Challenger in New York Makes Final Push in Key Race for House ControlA Republican challenging a vulnerable Democratic incumbent in one of the nation's most competitive House races is touting a key endorsements. Mike LiPetri, a former New York state assembly member is heavily backed by President Donald Trump… -
These 4 congressional races in NY, NJ could be midterm shockersDemocrats are banking on scoring at least some modest gains in the NYC metro area in the looming midterm congressional elections for the House of Representatives amid President Trump’s deep unpopularity. But what if the expected blue wave… - As midterms near, Long Island congressional districts seen as key battlegroundsHakeem Jeffries, the House minority leader, speaks during a rally for Democratic candidates at Mirelle's Restaurant in Westbury on Saturday. Credit: Jeff Bachner WESTBURY — Ten days before the midterm elections, national congressional…
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Everything to know about Election Day 2026 in QueensEarly voting is set to begin in Queens for the 2026 midterm elections on Saturday, Oct. 24, and run through Sunday, Nov. 1. With early voting and the Nov. 3 Election Day around the corner, Queens residents should know which candidates and… - Suffolk Democrats' leadership battle intensifies, spills into town races weeks before Election DayThe polarizing fight over Suffolk County Democratic Party leadership has extended to town committees just weeks before Election Day, with supporters of longtime Chairman Rich Schaffer winning in Brookhaven but backers of his rival winning…
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Lack of debates in 1st Congressional District race on Long Island exposes new political realityOctober 20, 2026 / 7:21 PM EDT / CBS New York There appears to be a disturbing trend in both local and national politics. Analysts say candidates no longer want to debate, perhaps because they are afraid of getting caught in "gotcha"… -
Political analyst breaks down heated debate between Suozzi, LiPetriPolitical Analyst Breaks Down Heated Debate Between Suozzi Lipetri News12 | Long Island Political analyst breaks down heated debate between Suozzi, LiPetri Political analyst Chris Malone joined News 12 to break down the debate between Rep…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions