Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
NY-19 House election: Peter Oberacker vote percent
The odds
41.63%median
34%54%
Median 41.63%Middle half 38.81% – 44.48%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.63% on Oct 24, 41.63% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 38% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 40% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 42% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| At least 44% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 46% | 14% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 5.00 |
| At least 48% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 50% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 52% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Peter Oberacker
Search ›- Peter Oberacker to Newsmax: Riley 'Puts on a Flannel and Thinks He's a Farmer'By Solange Reyner | Saturday, 24 October 2026 04:27 PM EDT Republican congressional candidate Peter Oberacker said Saturday that, if elected, he would push for a tax holiday on utility bills. He also accused Democratic Rep. Josh Riley of…
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - Rep. Josh Riley faces Peter Oberacker in NY-19 clashThe race for New York’s 19th Congressional District will pit Democratic incumbent Rep. Josh Riley against Republican challenger Peter Oberacker. Riley ran for the district back in 2022 and lost to Marc Molinaro before unseating him in a…
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Election 2026: Early voting begins. Here are all the races in Ulster County and Northern DutchessKINGSTON, N.Y. — Early voting in New York begins Saturday, Oct. 24, and runs through Nov. 1. Here are all the races on ballots in Ulster County and Northern Dutchess: Comptroller: Thomas P. DiNapoli: D, WF; Joseph Hernandez: R, C. Attorney… -
Lack of enthusiasm for NY-19 shows signs of a retreating GOPThe candidates for U.S. House District 19 include incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley, left, and Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker, right. Incumbent Rep. Josh Riley faces state Sen. Peter Oberacker for New York's 19th Congressional… -
Election 2026: The Races We’re Watching in NY & Northeast PAWJFF 90.5 FM | WIOX 91.3 FM Local and state races across New York and Pennsylvania are heating up as Election Day quickly approaches. Here are the races on our radar leading up to November 3. Stay up to date on Radio Catskill’s election… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
Columbia County General Election 2026 Voting GuideCOLUMBIA COUNTY — Election Day is almost here. Are you ready to cast your vote in the 2026 general election? Columbia County residents can start going to the polls on Oct. 24 when early voting opens before the general election on Nov. 3… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
In your opinion: Oberacker showed poor judgmentthedailystar.com I am writing about the disturbing Facebook post made by state Sen Peter Oberacker, who is running for Congress in our district against incumbent Rep I salute all who served.â à This page requires Javascript… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in… -
Oberacker willing to debate RileyThe River Reporter Oberacker willing to debate Riley State Sen. Peter Oberacker, candidate for Congress in New York’s 19th District, released the following statement after Rep. Josh Riley declined all invitations to participate in a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions