NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $496 traded · $289 at stake · prices read 4 h ago

The odds

41.84%median

34%52%

Median 41.84%Middle half 39% – 44.79%

How the odds have moved

Median: 41.79% on Oct 24, 41.84% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least 36%	94%		89¢	98¢	$1.02
At least 38%	83%		78¢	87¢	$1.15
At least 40%	68%	▲ 1	63¢	72¢	$1.39
At least 42%	49%	▲ 1	44¢	53¢	$1.89	15.00
At least 44%	31%	▲ 1	26¢	35¢	$2.86	423
At least 46%	17%	▲ 1	12¢	21¢	$4.76	200
At least 48%	10%	▲ 1	5¢	14¢	$7.14	2.8K
At least 50%	3%			6¢	$16.67	2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NV- House, Cody Whipple

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FULL: General Election interview with Scott Black | North Las Vegas Mayor@fox5vegas · 3 days agoFOX5 Vegas FULL: General Election interview with Scott Black | North Las Vegas Mayor FULL: General Election interview with Steven Horsford | NV US House District 4 FULL: General Election interview with Cody Whipple | NV US House District 4…
Henderson police investigate deadly shooting near Lake Mead Parkway@fox5vegas · 3 days agoFOX5 Vegas Henderson police investigate deadly shooting near Lake Mead Parkway FULL: General Election interview with Steven Horsford | NV US House District 4 FULL: General Election interview with Cody Whipple | NV US House District 4 FULL…
Cody Whipple does things ‘my way.’ Can the small-town rancher flip Nevada’s bluest House seat?Mesa Valleys Progress · 10 days agoBy Mini RackerThe Nevada Independent HIKO — Traveling to Cody Whipple’s family ranch is like going back in time. The wind growls through the open door. Whipple, 52, is a unique candidate, not just because the fourth-generation Nevadan has…
Endorsements for the midterm election in Southern NevadaLas Vegas Weekly · 11 days agoCarrie Ann Buck (R) Afzal “Bobby” Khan (NPP) Steven “Chap” St John (NPP) Few members of Congress understand Southern Nevada—or have delivered for it—as consistently as Rep. Dina Titus. For more than a decade, Titus has built a record…
Charlie Kirk Memorial and Awards Dinner in Pahrump honors conservative activistPahrump Valley Times · 12 days agoMany GOP notables spoke at the Nye County Republican Club event. The Charlie Kirk Memorial and Awards Dinner held by the Nye County Republican Club brought together conservatives in Pahrump to honor the late Turning Point USA (TPUSA)…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onOffice of the Secretary of State, Carson City, NV

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$496 (5,573 contracts)

This week$49

At stake$289

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Cody Whipple in the 2026 NV-04 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions