Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NJ-07 House election: Tom Kean Jr. vote percent
The odds
43.86%median
38%58%
Median 43.86%Middle half 41.31% – 46.4%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.93% on Oct 19, 43.86% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 42% | 70% | ▲ 1 | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 52.00 |
| At least 44% | 49% | ▲ 1 | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 352 |
| At least 46% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 5.00 |
| At least 48% | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 10.00 | |
| At least 50% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.2K | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tom Kean Jr, NJ- House
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Rep. Tom Kean Jr. urges federal officials, airlines to improve wheelchair accessibility on flightsWASHINGTON — U.S. Rep. Tom Kean Jr., R-N.J., is urging federal transportation officials and major airlines to advance technology that would allow wheelchair users to remain seated in their wheelchairs during commercial flights, eliminating… -
Can Invisible Congressman Tom Kean Jr. Win Reelection?Can Invisible Congressman Win Reelection? (First column, 14th story, link) Drudge Report Feed needs your support! Become a Patron Can Invisible Congressman Tom Kean Jr. Win Reelection? -
Tom Kean Jr.’s No Good Very (Very) Bad Day: With 12 Days to Go, Kean Jr. Faces Barrage of Brutal Press Coverage While Bennett Racks Up EndorsementsTake a look at some of today’s reporting: New York Magazine: Can an Invisible Congressman Win Reelection? NJ.com: Is this Tom Kean Jr.’s last stand? The nation — and Trump — are watching USA Today Network New Jersey Editorial Board: Tom… -
District 7 General Election 2026: Tom Kean Jr.DISTRICT 7, NJ —District 7's Congressional general election on Nov. 3 has three candidates running for one open seat. Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. is running against Democrat Rebecca Bennett and Seamus Patrick O'Toole with the "Stop… -
Tom Kean had everything going for him. Then the Republican New Jersey congressman disappearedEven with a multimillion-dollar war chest, the US representative faces a stiff fight for his seat from Democrat Rebecca Bennett The stars above New Jersey seemed aligned for Tom Kean Jr. The Republican congressman had a war chest of more… -
How and when to vote early in New York and New Jersey for the 2026 general electionOctober 23, 2026 / 2:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Early voting gets underway Saturday in New York and New Jersey Polling sites will be open around New York City starting at 9 a.m. Saturday. The early voting period will continue through Sunday… -
Tom Kean Jr.’s Hometown Newspaper Endorses Rebecca Bennett For CongressInsider NJ The My Central Jersey Editorial Board rebukes Kean Jr., writing: - “He has consistently avoided interacting with ordinary voters in the 7th Congressional District. He has not held in-person town hall meetings, and he doesn’t… -
Rep. Tom Kean Jr. honors 30 first responders during annual Hometown Heroes eventNEW JERSEY — U.S. Rep. Tom Kean Jr., R-7th District, recognized 30 first responders from across New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District during his third annual Hometown Heroes event held last week in Clark. The event honored police… -
At Morris County early voting site, partisan divisions run deep as voters head to pollsRepublicans see a country moving in the right direction. Democrats think it’s headed the wrong way. At an early voting center in western Morris County on Saturday, there was little middle ground. At the Mount Olive municipal building… -
InsiderNJ Interview with Hunterdon County Clerk Mary MelfiFLEMINGTON - Hunterdon County Clerk Mary Melfi is running "like I'm chased by a pack of wolves," she tells InsiderNJ on the day prior to the beginning of early voting, at the heart of the county she has served for 20 years. The Republican… -
Kean Vanishes, Bennett Smells Blood in Jersey FightTom Kean Jr. was supposed to have the upper hand in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District. Instead, the Republican congressman has become a campaign story in his own right, leaving Democrats with a fresh opening in one of the nation’s… -
Colleen O'Dea's VBM and Early Voting Interactive MapDemocrats would seem to have amassed a large advantage as early voting starts across New Jersey on Saturday, but the numbers may not portend the ultimate results once all votes are counted. An analysis of mail-in ballots received by…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions