Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NJ-07 House election: Rebecca Bennett vote percent
The odds
55.38%median
42%62%
Median 55.38%Middle half 52.83% – 57.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.13% on Oct 19, 55.38% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 48% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 50% | 92% | 89¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 1.00 | |
| At least 52% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 54% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| At least 56% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 14.00 | |
| At least 58% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 60% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Rebecca Bennett
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I Ran Against Rebecca Bennett. Here's Why I Trust Her to Lead Through What's Ahead.The best part of running for Congress is hearing people's stories. There's something humbling about strangers trusting you with their deepest vulnerabilities. Of the countless stories I heard across our district, two capture what so many… -
Zack Mullock in N.J. 2nd Congressional District and Rebecca Bennett in N.J. 7th Congressional District | EndorsementThe Democratic candidates offer voters an alternative to the GOP incumbents' blind allegiance to President Donald Trump's dead-end policies. Since he returned to the White House, Donald Trump’s policies have worsened inflation, pushed up… -
Tom Kean had everything going for him. Then the Republican New Jersey congressman disappearedEven with a multimillion-dollar war chest, the US representative faces a stiff fight for his seat from Democrat Rebecca Bennett The stars above New Jersey seemed aligned for Tom Kean Jr. The Republican congressman had a war chest of more… -
District 7 General Election 2026: Rebecca BennettDISTRICT 7, NJ —District 7's Congressional general election on Nov. 3 has three candidates running for one open seat. Democrat Rebecca Bennett is running against Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. and Seamus Patrick O'Toole with the "Stop… -
How and when to vote early in New York and New Jersey for the 2026 general electionOctober 23, 2026 / 2:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Early voting gets underway Saturday in New York and New Jersey Polling sites will be open around New York City starting at 9 a.m. Saturday. The early voting period will continue through Sunday… -
Decision 2026: Rebecca Bennett looks to flip a mostly Republican voting populationNBC New York Decision 2026: Rebecca Bennett looks to flip a mostly Republican voting population -
At Morris County early voting site, partisan divisions run deep as voters head to pollsRepublicans see a country moving in the right direction. Democrats think it’s headed the wrong way. At an early voting center in western Morris County on Saturday, there was little middle ground. At the Mount Olive municipal building… -
Tom Kean Jr.’s Hometown Newspaper Endorses Rebecca Bennett For CongressInsider NJ The My Central Jersey Editorial Board rebukes Kean Jr., writing: - “He has consistently avoided interacting with ordinary voters in the 7th Congressional District. He has not held in-person town hall meetings, and he doesn’t… -
Kean Vanishes, Bennett Smells Blood in Jersey FightTom Kean Jr. was supposed to have the upper hand in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District. Instead, the Republican congressman has become a campaign story in his own right, leaving Democrats with a fresh opening in one of the nation’s… -
InsiderNJ Interview with Hunterdon County Clerk Mary MelfiFLEMINGTON - Hunterdon County Clerk Mary Melfi is running "like I'm chased by a pack of wolves," she tells InsiderNJ on the day prior to the beginning of early voting, at the heart of the county she has served for 20 years. The Republican… -
Tom Kean Jr.’s No Good Very (Very) Bad Day: With 12 Days to Go, Kean Jr. Faces Barrage of Brutal Press Coverage While Bennett Racks Up EndorsementsTake a look at some of today’s reporting: New York Magazine: Can an Invisible Congressman Win Reelection? NJ.com: Is this Tom Kean Jr.’s last stand? The nation — and Trump — are watching USA Today Network New Jersey Editorial Board: Tom… -
Colleen O'Dea's VBM and Early Voting Interactive MapDemocrats would seem to have amassed a large advantage as early voting starts across New Jersey on Saturday, but the numbers may not portend the ultimate results once all votes are counted. An analysis of mail-in ballots received by…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions