Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NH-01 House election: Stefany Shaheen vote percent
The odds
55.53%median
46%64%
Median 55.53%Middle half 52.6% – 58.54%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.79% on Oct 19, 55.53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 50% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 52% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| At least 54% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 7.00 | |
| At least 56% | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 58% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 60% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 62% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NH- House, Stefany Shaheen
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Fmr. VP Kamala Harris Rallies with NH Candidates Stefany Shaheen, Chris Pappas and Cinde WarmingtonDemocratic candidates Stefany Shaheen, Chris Pappas, Vice President Kamala Harris and candidate Cinde Warmington are pictured at a calling center in Manchester on Saturday. Fmr. Vice President Kamala Harris visits a phone bank with… -
NH House Grafton 6: Goundrey on property taxes, school fundingVoters in Orford, Rumney and Wentworth will choose between Democrat Paul Goundrey of Orford and Republican incumbent Linda Franz of Wentworth for one seat in the New Hampshire House on Tuesday, Nov. 3. The Valley News asked the candidates… -
NH House Grafton 9: Barrett on cost of livingVoters in New Hampshire House District 9 will choose between Democrat Ella Barrett of Orange and Republican Bradley Macrae of Dorchester for one seat on Tuesday, Nov. 3. The Valley News asked the candidates in a survey about their… -
A Radical Billionaire With Ties to Epstein Is Funneling Campaign Cash to Stefany ShaheenStefany Shaheen, the Democrat running for Congress in New Hampshire's 1st District, has had everything handed to her. Her mother, retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, not only endorsed Stefany's congressional run, but Jeanne Shaheen gave Stefany… -
NH House Grafton 18: Kloos on housing costsVoters in New Hampshire House District 18 will choose between Democrat Marko Kloos of Enfield and Republican incumbent Donald McFarlane of Orange for one seat on Tuesday, Nov. 3. The Valley News asked the candidates in a survey about their… -
Kamala Harris jokes about cursing out the TV in rage at Trump after her loss: ‘We’ve been depressed and angry’LACONIA, New Hampshire — Some might call that a TV hit. Former Vice President Kamala Harris raged against President Trump, joking about shouting at the TV and “throwing things” in frustration with the country’s leadership during a brief… -
N.H. businessman Anthony DiLorenzo mounts GOP congressional bidAnthony DiLorenzo, a businessman who has long donated to Republican candidates in New Hampshire, launched a campaign of his own on Tuesday for the GOP nomination in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, where a wide-open race is… - Word Salad Bar: Kamala Harris Delivers Her Patented Gibberish Before Serving Some Cold BrewsFailed Democrat presidential candidate Kamala Harris was in New Hampshire Saturday to campaign for U.S. Senate candidate Chris Pappas, U.S. House candidate Stefany Shaheen, and gubernatorial candidate Cinde Warmington. Harris served up her…
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Scanlan: What’s Needed To Vote in NH Since Student IDs Banned By U.S. Supreme CourtCONCORD – Effective immediately, student ID cards cannot be used to prove identity when registering to vote, voting by absentee ballot, or when checking in to vote on election day in New Hampshire because of Thursday’s U.S. Supreme Court… -
Radio Free New Hampshire: New Worlds and Old WordsBy MICHAEL DAVIDOW, Radio Free New Hampshire AI recently solved a handful of math equations that our finest minds have been investigating for decades. It absorbed the work that has been done to date and used it for a base. Mathematicians… -
Early US Vote Passes 20 Million BallotsThis story is part of our coverage of the 2026 US midterm elections. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: US Democrats Lead House Race by 8 Points Our US midterms 2026 dossier tracks the race. The figure is not a… -
Poll shows one New Hampshire congressional race much closer than otherA new Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll shows two very different races in New Hampshire's two congressional districts. Second District U.S. Rep. Maggie Goodlander stands out in the poll as the only candidate for federal office with a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions