Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NH-01 House election: Anthony DiLorenzo vote percent
The odds
43.61%median
36%54%
Median 43.61%Middle half 40.44% – 46.54%
How the odds have moved
Median: 43.38% on Oct 19, 43.61% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 40% | 78% | 76¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 100 | |
| At least 42% | 65% | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | ||
| At least 44% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| At least 46% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 48% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 50% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NH- House, Anthony DiLorenzo
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Anthony DiLorenzo's Nashua hotel venture ended in foreclosureRepublican 1st Congressional District candidate Anthony DiLorenzo has a lot of business success stories. The college dropout turned $7,000 in cash and a $5,000 credit card into a 40-company business empire that employs 1,000 workers in 10… -
NH House Grafton 6: Goundrey on property taxes, school fundingVoters in Orford, Rumney and Wentworth will choose between Democrat Paul Goundrey of Orford and Republican incumbent Linda Franz of Wentworth for one seat in the New Hampshire House on Tuesday, Nov. 3. The Valley News asked the candidates… -
NH House Grafton 18: Kloos on housing costsVoters in New Hampshire House District 18 will choose between Democrat Marko Kloos of Enfield and Republican incumbent Donald McFarlane of Orange for one seat on Tuesday, Nov. 3. The Valley News asked the candidates in a survey about their… -
NH House Grafton 9: Barrett on cost of livingVoters in New Hampshire House District 9 will choose between Democrat Ella Barrett of Orange and Republican Bradley Macrae of Dorchester for one seat on Tuesday, Nov. 3. The Valley News asked the candidates in a survey about their… -
Poll shows one New Hampshire congressional race much closer than otherA new Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll shows two very different races in New Hampshire's two congressional districts. Second District U.S. Rep. Maggie Goodlander stands out in the poll as the only candidate for federal office with a… -
Early US Vote Passes 20 Million BallotsThis story is part of our coverage of the 2026 US midterm elections. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: US Democrats Lead House Race by 8 Points Our US midterms 2026 dossier tracks the race. The figure is not a… -
Program Alert: NHPR and Granite State News Collaborative cancel Senate forumNHPR and the Granite State News Collaborative have cancelled next week's scheduled forum for candidates in the U.S. Senate race. Republican John Sununu declined to participate in the forum. In an email to NHPR Wednesday afternoon, a Sununu… -
DiLorenzo has millions tied to offshore tax havensIf elected, DiLorenzo may vote on legislation that governs the use of tax havens. Republican House candidate Anthony DiLorenzo has a large financial stake in companies that take advantage of offshore tax havens. DiLorenzo, an auto dealer… -
Drye and Schissel face off over property taxes in Sullivan 7Republican state Rep. Margaret Drye of Plainfield faces Democrat Lawrence Schissel of Newport on Tuesday, Nov. 3, in the New Hampshire House race for the Sullivan 7 seat. Both candidates point to property taxes as a top concern. Drye says… -
4 democrats run unopposed for Grafton 12 House seatsFour Democrats from Hanover are running unopposed on Tuesday, Nov. 3, for the four New Hampshire House seats in Grafton 12, which covers Hanover and Lyme: state Reps. Mary Hakken-Phillips, Russell Muirhead, Ellen Rockmore and Terry Spahr… -
Famous Dems campaign for Pappas as NH's crucial Senate race hits final stretchThe campaign trail is heating up in New Hampshire as high-profile surrogates stump in the U.S. Senate race between Chris Pappas and John Sununu, which could have national implications. Two weeks until Election Day and New Hampshire's U.S… -
Shaheen Denies 'Abolish ICE' Stance Weeks After Saying 'We Need To Dismantle ICE'By Leonard Robinson, NH Journal Democrat Stefany Shaheen denied supporting the abolition of Immigration and Customs Enforcement during Monday night’s NH-01 debate, two weeks after telling a University of New Hampshire audience, “We need to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions