Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MN-02 House election: Eric Pratt vote percent
The odds
42.94%median
34%54%
Median 42.94%Middle half 40.06% – 45.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.38% on Oct 19, 42.94% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 38% | 88% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| At least 40% | 76% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | |
| At least 42% | 59% | ▲ 1 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | |
| At least 44% | 41% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| At least 46% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| At least 48% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 50% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Eric Pratt
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Matt Little and Eric Pratt are offering clear choices in a quiet race for CongressWASHINGTON – An open seat for Congress usually results in an expensive, combative and high-profile contest to fill it. But the race for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District seat, which is up for grabs with the retirement of Rep. Angie… -
Minnesota Republican Eric Pratt Accidentally Publishes AI Prompt About Trump: ‘Completely Hilarious and Unhinged’The campaign’s awkward Trump problem The message was first reported by MeidasTouch after appearing in the “Pratt Playbook” section of his website. It read, “The President is not popular, so all messaging should be focused on local politics… -
GOP Candidate Accidentally Posts Brutal Verdict on TrumpA Republican hoping to win a hard-fought House seat left an embarrassing instruction on his website. A Republican congressional candidate has revealed an extraordinary strategy for dealing with Donald Trump’s unpopularity—to pretend he… -
Why Are We Suddenly Talking About ‘Somali Gangs’ All the Time?Plus running from Trump, rewarding Nick Shirley, and a weak-ass WSJ hit piece in today's Flyover news roundup. 5:07 PM CDT on October 21, 2026 Ramsey County Sheriff Bob Fletcher Welcome back to The Flyover, your daily digest of important… -
GOP candidate's behind-the-scenes gaffe reveals what he thinks of 'not popular' TrumpAn apparent behind-the-scenes note telling staff to avoid mentioning Donald Trump showed up on the campaign site of Minnesota Republican Eric Pratt, the Daily Beast reports. “The President is not popular, so all messaging should be focused… -
Republican accidentally admits Trump is toxic in embarrassing website slipA GOP congressional candidate in Minnesota had an embarrassing slip when his campaign website accidentally revealed that President Donald Trump is too toxic and a political liability. Eric Pratt, who is running for Minnesota's 2nd… -
GOP Candidate Accidentally Posts Hilarious Verdict on TrumpA Republican congressional candidate has revealed his extraordinary strategy for dealing with Donald Trump’s unpopularity—to just pretend he doesn’t exist. Eric Pratt, 62, who is fighting to win a closely contested House seat in Minnesota… -
Minnesota Republican Candidate’s Website Featured Note Saying ‘The President Is Not Popular’A page on the campaign website of Republican Eric Pratt, a candidate in Minnesota’s open 2nd Congressional District, included what appears to be a stray instruction. It said, “The President is not popular,” and directed that all messaging… -
Trump Forced to Admit He Screwed Up With MAGA Senate CandidateDonald Trump flew to North Carolina in an attempt to rescue Republican Senate candidate Michael Whatley, but apparently even the president has given up on the liberal-favored race. Speaking at a midterm rally in Greenville Tuesday evening… -
Republican Candidate Publishes AI Prompt About Trump’s UnpopularityMinnesota GOP House candidate Eric Pratt accidentally left an artificial intelligence prompt up on his website that showed him asking the AI tool to avoid talking about President Trump due to his dismal approval ratings. “Residents want… -
House Agriculture Committee Seat at Stake in Minnesota 2nd District RaceCompeting for the open seat are Republican nominee Eric Pratt and Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) nominee Matt Little. DFL nominee Matt Little is an attorney, small business owner and former public servant from Lakeville, Minn. Little… -
Ilhan Omar's Cover Story May Be Blown: Investigators Find Something Is Strangely 'Missing'When it comes to American politics, the most important things are often what is missing. And in the case of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), House Oversight Chairman James Comer is pointing to an extraordinary mystery involving a winery, millions…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions