Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MI-08 House election: Kristen McDonald Rivet vote percent
The odds
56.98%median
46%66%
Median 56.98%Middle half 54.33% – 59.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.56% on Oct 19, 56.98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 50% | 95% | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 52% | 91% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 54% | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 56% | 60% | 55¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 58% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | |
| At least 60% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | |
| At least 62% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 64% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kristen McDonald Rivet, MI- House
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Democrats Retreat From House Races They Hoped To FlipLatest: Can The Gulf Be Rebuilt? History favors the party out of power in a midterm, but one problem has dogged the Democratic Party for months, and it's now undermining their plans to win as many seats as possible: money. With money being… -
House Democrats Make Hegseth Their First Impeachment Target, Vote Expected Next MonthHouse Democrats are rallying behind impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, with a floor vote likely next month while Republicans still control the chamber, The Wall Street Journal reported. Party leaders and candidates in competitive… -
The Gun Control Money Machine Is Ramping Up Before Election DayThe midterm elections are just around the corner and major gun control groups are backing up the Brink’s truck to dump sizeable sums into political races to buy more influence and put anti-Second Amendment politicians into office. With the… -
Rep. McDonald Rivet rallies supporters in FlintGeorgia Senator Rev. Raphael Warnock and Congresswoman Kristen McDonald Rivet held a rally in Flint, addressing urgent issues facing local families as the election approaches. FLINT, Mich. (WJRT) - Senator Reverend Raphael Warnock and… -
13 Contests TPM Will Be Following Especially Closely on Election DayThere’s a lot to pay attention to this year. With Democrats putting up seemingly fantastical numbers in the polls, the map is expanded in ways that no one thought possible a year ago. Is Texas in play? Is Kansas? Looming over it is Trump’s… -
Senator Warnock joins Rep. McDonald Rivet at Flint get-out-the-vote rallyPresident Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Pendleton, South Carolina. FLINT, Mich. — With Election Day approaching, U.S. Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet is campaigning for re-election in mid-Michigan with help from a prominent U.S… -
Sen. Slotkin responds after Trump says she ‘should be tried’Michigan Sen. Elissa Slotkin is pushing back after President Donald Trump said she should be tried in court over remarks she made about investigating members of his administration. WASHINGTON, D.C. (WJRT) - Michigan U.S. Sen. Elissa… -
MAGA Inc. trims the mapThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By ADAM WREN, WILL STEAKIN and DASHA BURNS 10/12/2026 07:05 AM EDT Updated 10/12/2026 11:12 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Good… -
Democrats trim bets as House money gets tightHouse Democrats are making a late-cycle retreat in several competitive races, pulling ad money out of districts where hopes of an upset have collided with the reality of a finite war chest. The shift underscores a familiar problem for the… -
House Democrats shift midterm spending as cash runs shortHouse Majority PAC is cutting back in several Republican-leaning districts and redirecting money to races Democrats consider more central battlegrounds. Democrats face hard choices over where to spend as their campaign committees struggle… -
Advocates rally against rising health care costs in FlintFLINT, Mich. - Local health care advocates gathered at the Flint Farmers’ Market on Monday afternoon to speak out against rising costs hitting Michiganders pockets. The “Protect Our Care” bus tour has been traveling around the country over… -
Healthcare advocates demand action on rising costs during Flint stopFLINT, Mich. (WJRT) - Congresswoman Kristen McDonald Rivet joined healthcare advocates in Flint on Tuesday afternoon as part of a nationwide bus tour targeting healthcare costs. The "Sick of It" bus tour stopped at the Flint Farmers'…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions