Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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MI-07 House election: William Lawrence vote percent
The odds
51.52%median
40%60%
Median 51.52%Middle half 49.37% – 53.69%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.32% on Oct 19, 51.52% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 48% | 88% | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 50% | 69% | 64¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 52% | 44% | 39¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 54% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | |
| At least 56% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, William Lawrence
Search ›-
Jane Fonda’s Climate PAC Pours Millions Into Progressive Campaigns Ahead of MidtermsLiberal Hollywood activist Jane Fonda is using her political fundraising operation to help elect progressive Democrats across the country, pouring millions into congressional, state and local races ahead of November’s midterm elections… -
Danny DeVito, Barbra Streisand Among Hollywood Celebrities Pouring Cash into Radical Democrat Candidates in MichiganA list of Hollywood celebrities and other well-known figures are pouring money into the coffers of radical Democrat socialists running for office in Michigan, including Barbra Streisand, Danny DeVito, rapper Macklemore, and Susan Sarandon… - Rep. Barrett to Newsmax: Lawrence Holds 'Extreme Positions'By Jim Thomas | Saturday, 24 October 2026 02:50 PM EDT Rep. Tom Barrett, R-Mich., told Newsmax on Saturday that his reelection fight comes down to "a very clear contrast" with Democrat William Lawrence, even as a leading forecaster rates…
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Congressional nominee Will Lawrence calls for Money Out of Politics at MSU town hall eventSaturday, October 24, 2026 Democratic congressional nominee William Lawrence speaks with students during a town hall at South Kedzie Hall in East Lansing, Mich., on Thursday, Oct. 22, 2026. Michigan’s 7th Congressional District Democratic… -
Elect Candidates Who Will Ban Presidents from Profiting in OfficeBy Virginia Kase Solomón and Abigail Bellows In 2025, President Trump made $2.2 billion while in office. Yes: $2.2 billion. That’s 25,000 times higher than the U.S. median household income. While Trump was making $2.2 billion in office… -
Abdul El-Sayed's Treasurer Behind Super PAC Pushing Third-Party Libertarian as 'True Conservative' in Michigan Senate RacePrincipled Patriots PAC, which formed last month, sent text messages touting Christensen as a "conservative" who "answers to you, not defense contractors," the Midwesterner reported. The texts also attack Republican nominee Mike Rogers as… -
Michigan's 7th District House race is nation's most expensive for political ads, outraging both candidatesMid-Michigan's 7th Congressional District has become the most expensive U.S. House race in the nation for political advertising, with spending topping $61 million. That's $11 million more than the next most expensive House race, according… -
AFT president backs Lawrence, criticizes Trump administration education cutsStanding outside the Michigan AFL-CIO building in Lansing, Randi Weingarten, president of the American Federation of Teachers, threw her support behind William Lawrence, the Democratic candidate for Michigan’s 7th Congressional District… -
‘Freeze AI Now’: Bay Area Activists Rally Outside OpenAI HeadquartersGet informed in minutes with our Voter Guide for California’s November 3 election. Bay Area activists joined a nationwide walkout on Tuesday to demand a pause on the development of artificial intelligence, so that the public — and Congress… -
Senior Trump cabinet member 'in trouble' as impeachment becomes 'inevitable': reportUS Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, Attorney General Todd Blanche, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attend a National Design Studio launch event for America.gov, a… -
MSU trustee, state and congressional candidates pitch priorities at ASMSU Spartan Voter FestTuesday, October 20, 2026 The Associated Students of Michigan State University held their Spartan Voter Fest at Wharton Center on Monday, where eight local candidates on the ballot had five minutes to make their pitch to students. All four… -
General Election Overview: 7th Congressional DistrictLeading up to the November 5 general election, we are highlighting races generally considered swing seats. The district includes Lansing and communities surrounding the capital. The district contains Clinton, Ingham, Livingston, and…
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13.88%median
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions