Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
MI-07 House election: Tom Barrett vote percent
The odds
47.65%median
40%60%
Median 47.65%Middle half 45.61% – 49.67%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.42% on Oct 19, 47.65% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 44% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 46% | 72% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 48% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 200 |
| At least 50% | 21% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 928 |
| At least 52% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Tom Barrett
Search ›- Report: Tom Barrett promised veterans service dogs and jobs but never deliveredTen years after launching a veterans initiative he promised would deliver resources for Michigan veterans, Republican US Rep. Tom Barrett can’t account for where its money went. MICHIGAN—US Rep. Tom Barrett talked a big game about helping…
-
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Trump’s midterm promises come with a catch: The GOP has to winThe president is tying everything from manufacturing investments to compensation for military families to GOP victories in November. President Donald Trump departs after speaking at a campaign rally on Oct. 21, 2026 in Pendleton, S.C. |… -
Is America Still Afraid of Socialism?| The Wall Street Journal - newspaper Magzter From the top, President Trump and New York Mayor Mamdani; Michigan Democratic House candidate Will Lawrence campaigns at an event; an ad attacking Lawrence; an ad for the GOP's Marsha Blackburn… -
POLITICO Pro: In competitive House races, Medicaid cuts are a potent issue, Democratic pollster findsThe poll assessed voters' views in the districts of GOP Reps. Zach Nunn, Tom Barrett, Max Miller and Rob Bresnahan, as well as Democrat Don Davis. -
Exclusive: Rep. Ryan Zinke’s SEAL PAC Releases Fierce Ad Comparing Socialist, Communist Dictators to Liberal DemocratsRep. Ryan Zinke (R-MT), who founded SEAL PAC, released a fierce ad that compares communist and socialist dictators to several liberal, Democrat lawmakers. Zinke warned that the United States faces “a war of ideologies” from communism and… -
Lansing area voter guide: Candidates, proposals on Nov. 3 ballotsLANSING ― As the midterm election nears, the campaigns, debates and overall chatter on the candidates may become overwhelming. To help organize your thoughts, here's a one-stop-shop of the federal, state and local races across Greater… -
America Isn’t Afraid of Socialism AnymoreThere is reason to believe it doesn’t, or at least not enough to outweigh their frustration with the cost of living. And the broader shift is backed by a wealth of data. According to a September Gallup poll, a record 45 percent of… - Rep. Barrett to Newsmax: Lawrence Holds 'Extreme Positions'By Jim Thomas | Saturday, 24 October 2026 02:50 PM EDT Rep. Tom Barrett, R-Mich., told Newsmax on Saturday that his reelection fight comes down to "a very clear contrast" with Democrat William Lawrence, even as a leading forecaster rates…
-
Letter: Missouri should join 25 states supporting proposed amendment on election spendingby Lynette Brady, Nixa Would you believe me if I told you 74% of Americans agree on something in politics? Well they do! A Pew Research study this year found many Americans believe money in politics is a big problem. When we have this much… -
Opinion: Environmentalist/author Bill McKibben says older ‘experienced Americans’ are going for El-Sayed, LawrenceOpinion: Environmentalist/author Bill McKibben says older 'experienced Americans' are going for El-Sayed, Lawrence Lansing City Pulse Opinion: Environmentalist/author Bill McKibben says older ‘experienced Americans’ are going for El-Sayed… - Department of Justice sending election monitors to 7 Michigan cities, other statesThe U.S. Department of Justice plans to send election monitors to polling places in seven Michigan cities this fall, as voters in the battleground state prepare to pick a new governor and decide a series of races that could sway control of…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18.13%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.94% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
30%65%
Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions