Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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MI-03 House election: Hillary Scholten vote percent
The odds
59.07%median
48%68%
Median 59.07%Middle half 56.41% – 61.76%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.54% on Oct 20, 59.07% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | ▲ 2 | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 3.0K |
| At least 52% | 96% | ▲ 5 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K |
| At least 54% | 90% | ▲ 9 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 4.0K |
| At least 56% | 79% | ▲ 13 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | |
| At least 58% | 62% | ▲ 15 | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | |
| At least 60% | 40% | ▲ 13 | 36¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 5.00 |
| At least 62% | 23% | ▲ 10 | 19¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 5.00 |
| At least 64% | 10% | ▲ 6 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 5.00 |
| At least 66% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Hillary Scholten
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Get to know Democratic candidate Hillary Scholten for U.S. House of RepresentativesFirst Presbyterian Church of Grand Haven will host a pair of free concerts this fall as part… Halloween is right around the corner, and there are plenty of opportunities to celebrate the… Green Party candidate for U.S. House of… -
Tech bills of the week: Preventing AI model theft; Regulating AI-generated political content; and moreA proposal from Reps. Pat Harrigan, R-N.C., and George Whitesides, D-Calif., looks to prevent distillation attacks against U.S.-made AI models by directing the National Institute for Standards and Technology to develop voluntary industry… -
DeBoer, Jock challenge Scholten seeking third term in U.S. HouseFirst Presbyterian Church of Grand Haven will host a pair of free concerts this fall as part… Halloween is right around the corner, and there are plenty of opportunities to celebrate the… Green Party candidate for U.S. House of… -
Get to know Green Party candidate Joe Jock for U.S. House of RepresentativesFirst Presbyterian Church of Grand Haven will host a pair of free concerts this fall as part… Halloween is right around the corner, and there are plenty of opportunities to celebrate the… Green Party candidate for U.S. House of… -
Hinson, Scholten Introduce SCREENS Act to Help Patients Catch Cancer Earlier, Save LivesWashington, D.C. – Congresswoman Ashley Hinson (R-IA-02) and Congresswoman Hillary Scholten (D-MI-03) introduced the Standardizing Cancer Recommendations for Earlier Evaluation and Navigation of Screenings (SCREENS) Act. Senator Chuck… -
Former DSA member warns of radicalization as group denies white powder letter tiesThough the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) denies any involvement with the letters fouled with white powder sent to lawmakers across the nation, one former member told Heartlander News that he is concerned about radicalized factions… -
Rep. Hillary Scholten says threatening letter with "white powder" sent to Grand Rapids officeOctober 16, 2026 / 10:21 PM EDT / CBS Detroit Michigan Congresswoman Hillary Scholten says a threatening letter that contained "unidentified white powder" was sent to her Grand Rapids office on Friday. Scholten says the letter claimed to… -
Rep. Hillary Scholten Receives Threatening Letter With White Powder at Grand Rapids OfficeDemocrat Rep. Hillary Scholten (MI-3) received a “threatening letter” with unidentified white powder at her Grand Rapids, Michigan, office on Friday. The letter claimed to be from the Democratic Socialists of America and referenced a… -
"Big Tent" Backfires: Dem Rep Claims DSA Sent Her White Powder And Warned Of Impending "Civil War"U.S. Rep. Hillary Scholten (D-Grand Rapids) is getting a taste of what happens when her "big tent" party fails to curb far-left extremism within its own ranks and is consumed by Marxist revolutionaries from the Democratic Socialists of… -
Michigan Rep. Hillary Scholten sent threatening letter with white powder at Grand Rapids officeGRAND RAPIDS, Mich. (WXMI) — A Michigan congresswoman received a threatening letter containing an unidentified white powder at her office Friday. U.S. Democratic Rep. Hillary Scholten received the letter at her Grand Rapids office… -
Security official warns of more suspicious letters to lawmakersA wave of suspicious letters mailed to members of Congress is likely to continue, House officials warned Monday, describing a white powder in the envelopes. So far, “none of the letters received by Congressional offices have been… - Press Release: Hillary Scholten Reports Threatening Letter at Grand Rapids OfficeCongresswoman Scholten says she received a threatening letter with white powder at her Grand Rapids office; police and FBI responded. Scholten reports threatening letter: Congresswoman Hillary Scholten said her Grand Rapids office received…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions