Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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MI-10 House election: Christina Hines vote percent
The odds
50.26%median
42%60%
Median 50.26%Middle half 47.53% – 53.06%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.87% on Oct 19, 50.26% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 46% | 87% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | |
| At least 48% | 72% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 50% | 53% | ▲ 1 | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | |
| At least 52% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | |
| At least 54% | 18% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 14.00 |
| At least 56% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 58% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Christina Hines
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Election 2026 MichiganThe Herald Journal - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Democratic nominee for US House District 10 Christina Hines greets supporters during a campaign event at Cass Technical High School Saturday… -
Danny DeVito, Barbra Streisand Among Hollywood Celebrities Pouring Cash into Radical Democrat Candidates in MichiganA list of Hollywood celebrities and other well-known figures are pouring money into the coffers of radical Democrat socialists running for office in Michigan, including Barbra Streisand, Danny DeVito, rapper Macklemore, and Susan Sarandon… - Obama Rallies Behind El-Sayed, Takes Aim at Trump in Detroit—As It HappenedNote: This is a live blog. Email versions won’t update—open this post in your browser or the Substack app and refresh for new entries throughout the day. Live coverage for this blog has ended, but you can scroll back through the feed for…
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Follow the Money: Democrats' Epstein Attacks Are Bankrolled by an Epstein AssociateHouse Majority PAC (HMP) is the primary Democrat Party super PAC focused on electing Democrats to the House. It was founded in 2011 in response to the Citizens United Supreme Court ruling to "answer the barrage of GOP outside spending."… -
The Gun Control Money Machine Is Ramping Up Before Election DayThe midterm elections are just around the corner and major gun control groups are backing up the Brink’s truck to dump sizeable sums into political races to buy more influence and put anti-Second Amendment politicians into office. With the… - Department of Justice sending election monitors to 7 Michigan cities, other statesThe U.S. Department of Justice plans to send election monitors to polling places in seven Michigan cities this fall, as voters in the battleground state prepare to pick a new governor and decide a series of races that could sway control of…
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Open 10th District congressional seat up for grabs between young candidatesThe race to fill the open 10th District congressional seat, which has national and local ramifications, features a pair of young political upstarts who have attacked each other on a number of fronts. The election of Christina Hines would… - Bloomberg-Backed Everytown Super PAC Targets Competitive House RacesThe committee's Gun Sense Voter website identifies the effort as a project of Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund and Everytown for Gun Safety Victory Fund, working with Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America to support candidates…
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Jeffries talks AI concerns at roundtable with Macomb County community leadersDuring a roundtable in Eastpointe on Saturday, U.S. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries argued that Congress must take a more aggressive approach to regulating AI as multiple panelists raised concerns about how artificial intelligence… -
Jeffries joins Hines for roundtable on community concerns in Michigan’s 10th Congressional DistrictBy Kyle Davidson, Michigan Advance In southern Macomb County, faith leaders and local government officials sat down with former special victims prosecutor Christina Hines and U.S. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-New York) to share… -
Republicans distort rape case to falsely attack Christina HinesRepublican groups are spending millions of dollars in Michigan’s competitive 10th Congressional District and are now using a 2021 sexual assault case in campaign ads to portray Democrat Christina Hines as a prosecutor who let a dangerous…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions