Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
50.86%median
42%62%
Median 50.86%Middle half 48.45% – 53.32%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.8% on Oct 19, 50.86% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 46% | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 300 | |
| At least 48% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| At least 50% | 60% | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 10.00 | |
| At least 52% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 54% | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| At least 56% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ME- House, Paul LePage
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Paul LePage isn’t a full-time Maine resident. That should disqualify him from representing us in Congress.Sandra Caron of Orono is a retired professor and recipient of the 2019 Distinguished Maine Professor Award, and a 2023 Maine Women’s Hall of Fame inductee. My friends who live outside Maine always marvel at my literal close proximity to my… -
Gov Alia denied me house, annual medical checks – OrtomBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Paul LePage was 'Trump before Trump'. The real one is hurting his comeback.BREWER, Maine — The campaign for New England’s most Trump-friendly House district shouldn’t have been a heavy lift for former two-term Republican governor Paul LePage — the self-styled “Trump before Trump.” But stiff headwinds have come in… -
'I fell for it three times': Furious Trump voters threaten to sink GOP in midtermsA slice of voters who helped put President Donald Trump back in the White House have turned on him, and some of them say Republicans will pay for it in November. According to the Washington Post's new reporting, about 1 in 5 registered… -
LePage casts ballot, calls election ‘most important for decades to come’AUGUSTA, Maine (WABI) - Former Gov. Paul LePage went to the polls Thursday and urged Mainers to do the same. The Second Congressional District Republican candidate and former governor spoke with the press after casting an absentee ballot… -
A split vote could save the Maine sheriff that Janet Mills wouldn’t removeTwo years after Gov. Janet Mills declined to remove him from office and said Oxford County voters should decide his fate, Sheriff Christopher Wainwright is asking for a third term. The Republican sheriff, whose tenure has drawn multiple… -
State Police Bill: 24 states approve, 12 yet to decideBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Dunlap, Michaud campaign in Bangor about LePage residency questionsBANGOR, Maine (WABI) - Democratic candidate for Congress Matt Dunlap held a press conference on Wednesday with former Maine congressman Mike Michaud. The focus was former governor Paul LePage’s residency in Florida that came up during a… -
Nobody fears Peter Obi, He’s no threat to Tinubu — UmahiBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Maine gov to NAACP: 'Kiss my butt'LePage reacts after the group complains that he isn't taking part in Martin Luther King Day events. Maine gov to NAACP: 'Kiss my butt' Paul LePage insists his decision to skip the MLK Day events has nothing to do with race. Maine’s… -
Mary Patricia Akut: First Idoma woman to Become Permanent Secretary in NigeriaBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… -
Lagos-Calabar coastal highway not land grabbing, Umahi insistsBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions