Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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IA-01 House election: Mariannette Miller-Meeks vote percent
The odds
43.9%median
38%58%
Median 43.9%Middle half 41.25% – 46.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.53% on Oct 20, 43.9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 42% | 69% | 64¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 44% | 49% | 44¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 46% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | |
| At least 48% | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 50% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IA- House, Mariannette Miller-Meeks
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Where does Mariannette Miller-Meeks actually live?Mariannette Miller-Meeks isn’t required to live in the district she represents. But that hasn’t stopped her from citing other addresses in the past. US Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, a Republican, has changed her voter registration three… - Iowa 1st Congressional District candidates Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christina BohannanNewsBreak: Local News & Alerts Timothy Gerard Mckernan has been missing from Petaluma, California (Sonoma County), since April 23, 1973, according to the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children (NCMEC). Great Dog Rescue New…
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Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christina Bohannan debate for Iowa's 1st Congressional DistrictCandidates for Iowa's 1st Congressional District debated at St. Ambrose University Tuesday night, just two weeks out from election day. This was the first and only debate scheduled between the two, and both spent a lot of their time… -
How to watch KWQC’s and KCRG’s debate between Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christiana BohannanDAVENPORT, Iowa (KWQC/KCRG) - KCRG is partnering with KWQC to air a live debate between Iowa’s 1st Congressional District candidates Christina Bohannan and Mariannette Miller-Meeks. The debate starts at 7 p.m. on Tuesday, Oct. 20. The… -
Trump heads to Iowa as Republicans fight for seats in longtime strongholdSIOUX CITY, Iowa — President Donald Trump heads to Iowa on Thursday to shore up Republicans in a state he won by 13 percentage points two years ago, but where his weakened standing and voter anxiety over his policies have complicated the… -
Iowa voter guide 2026: Key races, deadlines and voting locations for the 2026 electionIowa voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to decide races for U.S. Senate, governor, Congress and local offices. Here's what voters in Scott, Muscatine and Clinton counties need to know before casting their ballots. From… -
Photos: Josh Turek and Christina Bohannan rally Democrats in DavenportDemocratic candidates for U.S. Senate, Josh Turek, and Iowa's 1st Congressional District, Christina Bohannan rallied Democrats for a Get Out the Vote Rally in Davenport Thursday. Democratic candidate for Iowa's 1st Congressional District… -
Miller-Meeks’ voting record under review heading into midtermsThe state’s 1st Congressional District face-off between Republican incumbent US Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan is among the most closely watched House races. With Election Day now just a matter… -
Fundraising tight in Iowa’s competitive U.S. House racesDemocrat Christina Bohannan (left) speaks Oct. 21, 2024, during a debate with Republican U.S. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks hosted by Iowa PBS in Johnston. The two are candidates again for the U.S. House seat in Iowa’s 1st Congressional… -
Opinion: Voters should send James, Bohannan to CongressDemocrat Lindsay James (left) and Republican Joe Mitchell are vying in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District. Voters in Iowa’s 1st and 2nd congressional districts will see new and familiar names on their ballots in this fall’s election. In… -
Health care, housing, wages: Josh Turek outlines campaign goals at Davenport rallyDownload the KWQC News app to get your local news, sports and weather all in one place. Watch live newscasts, submit a news tip and get breaking news updates as soon as they happen. DAVENPORT, Iowa (KWQC) - Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek… -
WATCH LIVE: President Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa – 7:30 PM ETPresident Trump is scheduled to speak at a campaign rally in Sioux City, Iowa, tonight to stump for Iowa GOP Senate Nominee and current Congresswoman Ashley Hinson, and other statewide and Congressional candidates. Trump posted his list of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions