Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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FL-13 House election: Anna Paulina Luna vote percent
The odds
51.39%median
44%64%
Median 51.39%Middle half 48.08% – 54.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.11% on Oct 19, 51.39% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 91% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| At least 48% | 76% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 200 |
| At least 50% | 63% | ▲ 1 | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | |
| At least 52% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 200 |
| At least 54% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | |
| At least 56% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 58% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anna Paulina Luna, FL- House
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Anna Paulina Luna Has More on the 'Florida Voter' With All the Republican Neighbors Voting BlueThere's something that you can always bet the ranch on, and that's assuming whatever the "Fact Post News" account posts is not going to be very factual. The account is basically the DNC's rapid response operation, so the lies and… -
New Report Suggests Anna Paulina Luna is Benefitting From Insider TradingCongresswoman Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) has been a staunch supporter of banning insider trading in Congress. However, a recent report suggests she may be personally benefiting from the same actions she’s publicly challenging. The scrutiny… -
Anna Paulina Luna Celebrates Pentagon's New Air National Guard Squadron In FloridaCongresswoman Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) recently celebrated the Pentagon’s decision to station a new Air National Guard Squadron in Florida, touting her role in the matter. I am happy to announce that I have successfully secured a Special… -
Anna Paulina Luna’s Husband Owns 10 Percent of Drone Startup That Got $37 Million in Pentagon DealsAmid congressional gridlock in late 2025, Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) attempted to force a vote on a bill that would have banned members of Congress and their immediate family members from buying or trading public stock. “Americans… -
‘Sounds Like an Election Stunt to Me’: Critics Push Back as Florida Rep. Anna Paulina Luna Credits Trump for Stephen Hubbard’s ReleaseTalk about perfect timing Florida Rep. Anna Paulina Luna credited President Donald Trump with securing American Stephen Hubbard’s release from Russian custody. She defended Trump’s efforts to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine and… -
Hakeem Jeffries-affiliated super PAC says Leela Gray is polling ahead of Anna Paulina LunaA super PAC affiliated with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries says its polling shows Democrat Leela Gray leading Republican U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna. House Majority PAC released top-line polling on 13 battleground races across the… - Anna Paulina Luna Tells Colleagues to Keep Their Mouths Shut Following Russia's Release of American PrisonerCongresswoman Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) is telling her Republican colleagues to keep their mouths shut rather than criticize the Trump administration’s efforts without knowing their intentions following Russia's release of an American…
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GOP firebrand Luna joins California Democrat Khanna in surprising push to overhaul workplace rulesRep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., details the Workers’ Right To Compete Act, a bipartisan bill he introduced with Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., which would ban companies from imposing non-compete agreements on workers making less than $100,000 a… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Maxwell Frost heads to St. Pete to knock on doors for Leela Gray and Angie NixonMaxwell Frost will spend Monday in St. Petersburg campaigning for Leela Gray and Angie Nixon. No Republican or Democrat qualified to run against the Orlando Congressman this year. Frost will headline three stops for Gray, the retired Army… -
Trump Says He Might Support Student Loan Interest CapLatest: Can The Gulf Be Rebuilt? Authored by Tom Gantert via The Epoch Times, President Donald Trump said on Saturday that he might support a bill capping federal student loan interest at 2.5 percent. Interest rates for newer federal… - 'Not welcome': James Fishback allegedly blocked from entering 'Get out and Vote' rallyCLEARWATER, Fla. (CBS12) — Former Florida gubernatorial candidate James Fishback says he was told he was not welcome at a public get-out-the-vote rally in Clearwater on Saturday, though the Pinellas County Sheriff's Office disputes his…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions