Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CT-05 House election: Jahana Hayes vote percent
The odds
57.45%median
48%68%
Median 57.45%Middle half 54.76% – 60.21%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58% on Oct 20, 57.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.9K |
| At least 52% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 2.7K |
| At least 54% | 82% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | |
| At least 56% | 65% | ▲ 1 | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | |
| At least 58% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | |
| At least 60% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | |
| At least 62% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 64% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 66% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CT- House, Jahana Hayes
Search ›- Candidates present platforms to seniorsCandidates running for state offices, from local state representatives and senators to statewide offices and U.S. House and Senate seats were invited to address seniors at the Bristol Senior Center, Wednesday, Oct. 7. TBE was there to…
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New Milford 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting DetailsNEW MILFORD, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the candidates… - Woodbury/Middlebury 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Ballot Questions, Early Voting DetailsWOODBURY/MIDDLEBURY, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the…
- Press Release: John Larson and Connecticut House Delegation Respond to Trump’s Russia Sanctions WaiverConnecticut Democrats criticize Russia sanctions waiver: Reps. John Larson, Joe Courtney, Rosa DeLauro, Jim Himes and Jahana Hayes said President Trump waived Russia sanctions less than a month after they were signed into law. They argued…
- Press Release: Jahana Hayes, Debbie Dingell Introduce Bill on School Response to Sexual Assault ReportsHayes and Dingell propose legislation tightening Title IX accountability for schools mishandling sexual assault reports. Hayes and Dingell propose Title IX bill: Reps. Jahana Hayes and Debbie Dingell introduced the "Title IX Take…
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Jahana Hayes, Chris Shea square off in CT 5th District debateU.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes, D-5th District, and her Republican challenger Chris Shea squared off in a Tuesday night debate that featured contrasting views and occasional sharp exchanges over Trump administration policies, immigration and the… -
Hayes Vs. Shea: What To Know About Connecticut's 5th District RaceStick with the incumbent or choose a new voice in Washington? That's the decision facing voters in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District on Nov. 3 as Democratic U.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes seeks another term against Republican challenger… -
Candidate Profile: Tony Scott, 112th State House DistrictMONROE, CT — State Rep. Tony Scott, a Republican representing Connecticut's 112th House District, is seeking reelection in November. Scott, 50, is facing Democratic challenger Wiley Mullins for the seat representing Monroe and portions of… -
Exclusive / Jeffries neutral in Financial Services Committee clashHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and Democratic leadership are taking a hands-off approach to Rep. Sean Casten’s bid to replace Rep. Maxine Waters as Financial Services Committee ranking member, multiple people familiar with the talks… - Connecticut Congressional Delegation Announces $75.3 Million in LIHEAP Funding to ConnecticutNORWICH, CT — Today, Congressman Joe Courtney (CT-02), U.S. Senator Richard Blumenthal (D-CT), U.S. Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT), Congressman John Larson (CT-01), Congresswoman Rosa DeLauro (CT-03), Congressman Jim Himes (CT-04), and…
- Hayes, Shea spar over tariffs, immigration and Iran warHartford Business Journal Hayes, Shea spar over tariffs, immigration and Iran war U.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes, D-5th District, and her Republican challenger Chris Shea squared off in a Tuesday night debate that featured contrasting views and…
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Early voting begins Oct. 19 across the regionDemocratic incumbent Maria Horn and Republican incumbent Stephen Harding Voters across the Northwest Corner and throughout the state can begin casting ballots Monday, Oct. 19, when Connecticut opens two weeks of in-person early voting…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions