Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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CO-08 House election: Gabe Evans vote percent
The odds
44.15%median
36%56%
Median 44.15%Middle half 41.4% – 46.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.91% on Oct 19, 44.15% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 40% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 42% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 44% | 52% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 1.00 | |
| At least 46% | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| At least 48% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 50% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 52% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- House, Gabe Evans
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GOP Rep. Gabe Evans on running in competitive Colorado district, data center regulation and more"The Ratepayer Protection Act," aimed at preventing utility customers from absorbing the costs of data centers, overwhelmingly passed the House but failed to advance in the Senate by three votes. Republican Rep. Gabe Evans of Colorado, who… -
Rep. Gabe Evans embraced much of Trump’s agenda. Now he’s running from an unpopular president’s long shadow.Editor’s note: The Denver Post published stories examining the major-party candidates in the battleground race to represent the 8th Congressional District. Read the story about Democrat Manny Rutinel here. As U.S. Rep. Gabe Evans stood… -
Where Gabe Evans, Manny Rutinel stand on the key issues in the 8th Congressional DistrictVoters in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District on Nov. 3 face a choice between U.S. Rep. Gabe Evans and former state Rep. Manny Rutinel in a race that could help decide which party controls Congress for the next two years. The tossup… -
Which Democrats may challenge Republican Gabe Evans in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District come 2026?The 2024 battle in Colorado’s highly competitive 8th Congressional District just ended, which means the 2026 race has already begun. Caraveo is atop the list. She isn’t ruling out a 2026 bid in the district, which spans Denver’s northern… -
10/22: CBS Evening NewsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. 10/22: CBS Evening… -
Trump fiercely defends Vivek Ramaswamy's controversial attack ad against Amy ActonCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump fiercely… -
How ICE activities in Texas are influencing the Latino vote ahead of midtermsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. How ICE is… -
Family of 1-year-old killed by police speak out: "That's no justification"The family of the 1-year-old boy who was shot by police in the parking lot of a Mississippi Walmart spoke out on Thursday. The use of deadly force was justified, according to the state, but the family disagrees. Jason Allen reports. Family… -
Lawyer explains Supreme Court decision on medical treatment for transgender inmatesCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. SCOTUS rules on… -
Political strategists on how Ramaswamy attack ad could affect Ohio governor's raceBacklash is continuing to grow after Ohio GOP gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign posted an ad featuring his Democratic opponent's estranged mother, with President Trump defending the move and some Republicans condemning it… -
Women trying to ride toy cars toward a Guinness World RecordCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Riding toy cars… -
Here's how GLP-1 drugs are changing how people shopNew research on GLP-1 drug usage from EY-Parthenon shows that weight loss is now the most popular use of the drug once dedicated to diabetes patients. CBS News' Megan Cerullo reports on how the drugs are changing spending habits for users…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions