Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
CA-47 House election: Dave Min vote percent
The odds
59.5%median
52%70%
Median 59.5%Middle half 56.56% – 62.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.5% on Oct 24, 59.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 91% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| At least 56% | 80% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | |
| At least 58% | 64% | ▲ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | |
| At least 60% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 62% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | |
| At least 64% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 66% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Dave Min
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Coupang spends $3.6m lobbying Washington as midterms approachBusiness Coupang spends $3.6m lobbying Washington as midterms approach Published : Oct. 23, 2026 - 15:16:23 My reporting finds form wherever the 'K-' prefix grafts onto food, beauty and fashion E-commerce giant Coupang spent about $3.6… -
Government officials attempt visit to reported ICE office in IrvineCongressman Dave Min and local officials attempted a Thursday morning visit to office space in Irvine that reports have said has been leased for Immigration and Customs Enforcement purposes. Irvine Councilmember Melinda Liu and her chief… -
Congresswoman Luz Rivas Joins Colleagues for Unannounced Oversight Visit at Adelanto, Raises Concerns About Inhumane ConditionsAdelanto, California — Congresswoman Luz Rivas (CA-29), representative for California’s 29th Congressional District, conducted an unannounced Congressional oversight visit of the Adelanto ICE Detention Center with her colleagues… -
Rep. Derek Tran and California Congressional Democrats Visit ICE Facility, Demand Accountability for Reports of Unsafe, Filthy ConditionsWashington, D.C.– U.S. Representative Derek Tran (CA-45) and members of the California Congressional delegation conducted an unannounced oversight visit to Adelanto ICE Processing Center in Adelanto, California. Alongside Rep. Rep. Derek… -
Members of Congress report mold, ‘filthy’ kitchenware during unannounced Adelanto ICE facility visitA group of Democratic members of Congress said they found mold and hair in shower areas and dirty cookware and couldn’t talk with detainees when they made an unannounced tour of the Adelanto ICE Processing Center on Friday. Rep. Robert… -
US Lawmakers Introduce Legislation to Expand Internet Access for Iranian PeopleFriday, October 16th | 5 Heshvan 5787 US lawmakers have introduced bipartisan legislation to expand the Iranian people’s access to uncensored internet, challenging the Islamic Republic’s efforts to suppress dissent and monitor… -
Rep. Min Leads OC Delegation in Bipartisan Bill to Name Post Office After Mary NomuraWASHINGTON — Rep. Dave Min (D-Costa Mesa) on Sept. 16 introduced legislation to designate the U.S. Postal Service facility located in Irvine as the “Mary Kageyama Nomura Post Office Building,” honoring the life and legacy of Mary Kageyama… - Press Release: Rep. Dave Min, Sen. Welch Lead Inquiry Into Trump Cabinet Members’ Role in PardonsLawmakers open clemency inquiry: Rep. Dave Min, Sen. Peter Welch, Sen. Richard Blumenthal and Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon said they are investigating whether Trump administration cabinet members helped secure pardons for convicted felons. The…
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California’s 47th Congressional District candidates align on tech issues, differ on offshore drillingVoters in California’s 47th Congressional District have a choice between Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux and Democratic incumbent Rep. Dave Min. The Southern California News Group asked the candidates vying to represent you several questions… -
Costa Mesa notches a double win for Westside park spacesCosta Mesa officials are advancing efforts to expand and beautify open space on the city’s west side, celebrating a newly renovated Ketchum-Libolt Park this week shortly after approving a community center concept near Shalimar Park. Locals… -
Congresswoman Tenney Introduces Bipartisan IRAN Act to Expand Internet Freedom for the Iranian PeopleOswego, NY — Congresswomen Claudia Tenney (NY-24) and Yassamin Ansari (AZ-03) today introduced the bipartisan Internet Reach and Access Now (IRAN) Act to strengthen U.S. efforts to help the Iranian people access the open internet… - Bipartisan lawmakers criticize Trump's diesel deal with RussiaPresident Donald Trump on Monday defended his deal for Russia to immediately supply more than 300,000 tons of diesel, writing on Truth Social that he “made the right choice for the American People.” But lawmakers on both sides of the aisle…
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10.72%median
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13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
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Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions