Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-41 House election: Mitch Clemmons vote percent
The odds
37.05%median
26%46%
Median 37.05%Middle half 34.39% – 39.82%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.39% on Oct 19, 37.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 32% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 34% | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 36% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 38% | 41% | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | ||
| At least 40% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 42% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 44% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Mitch Clemmons
Search ›-
Races in redrawn districts could determine control of HouseSeveral contests for the U.S. House in California could determine the partisan control of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections. In November 2025, California voters approved Proposition 50, a measure to redraw congressional districts in… -
In California’s new 41st Congressional District, it’s a race between Mitch Clemmons and Linda SánchezCalifornia’s 41st Congressional District is a new one after last year’s mid-cycle redistricting, and it’s a seat plumbing contractor Mitch Clemmons and Rep. Linda Sánchez are vying for in the 2026 midterm elections. The Southern California… -
Mitch Clemmons, CA-41 candidate, 2026 election questionnaireCurrent job title: Plumbing contractor Other political positions held: Ex-officio, state senate district 30 City where you reside: Santa Monica What is the single most important issue this district faces, and what can Congress…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions