Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
CA-41 House election: Linda Sánchez vote percent
The odds
62.05%median
52%74%
Median 62.05%Middle half 59.27% – 64.81%
How the odds have moved
Median: 61.56% on Oct 20, 62.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 56% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 4.7K |
| At least 58% | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 200 | |
| At least 60% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 62% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 64% | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| At least 66% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 68% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Linda Sánchez
Search ›-
Dems Plan Assault On Trump’s Treasury Dept. If They Win CongressDemocrats are preparing for an aggressive oversight campaign targeting Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and the Internal Revenue Service if they regain control of Congress in November, potentially turning months of simmering disputes into… - Press Release: Linda Sánchez says suspicious package received at Whittier district officeCongresswoman Sánchez reported a suspicious package at her Whittier office, said authorities responded, and noted no broader threat. Sánchez reports suspicious package: Congresswoman Linda T. Sánchez said her Whittier district office…
-
Southern California lawmakers among those who received ‘suspicious’ letters this weekMultiple Southern California lawmakers, including U.S. Sen. Alex Padilla, said they received suspicious letters this week. Federal authorities are investigating letters with “suspicious substances” that have been mailed to congressional… -
Races in redrawn districts could determine control of HouseSeveral contests for the U.S. House in California could determine the partisan control of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections. In November 2025, California voters approved Proposition 50, a measure to redraw congressional districts in… -
In California’s new 41st Congressional District, it’s a race between Mitch Clemmons and Linda SánchezCalifornia’s 41st Congressional District is a new one after last year’s mid-cycle redistricting, and it’s a seat plumbing contractor Mitch Clemmons and Rep. Linda Sánchez are vying for in the 2026 midterm elections. The Southern California… -
Dems court Latino voteWhy now: One new effort comes from the campaign arm of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, also known as BOLD PAC. In February, they launched a program to personally connect social media influencers with voters. Why it matters: Democrats… - Directors Guild Lobbies on AI Bill and Tax CreditThe Directors Guild of America Inc. (DGA) filed a lobbying report for the third quarter of 2026 covering intellectual property protections, a draft artificial intelligence bill on rights of attribution and integrity, the cultural exception…
-
Linda Sánchez, CA-41 candidate, 2026 election questionnaireName: Linda T. Sánchez Current job title: Congresswoman Other political positions held: N/A City where you reside: Whittier What is the single most important issue this district faces, and what can Congress, realistically, do to address…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
16.22%median
8%28%
Median 16.22%Middle half 14.31% – 18.14%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.9% – 17.52%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.05%median
30%65%
Median 46.05%Middle half 43.07% – 48.94%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions