Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-03 House election: Ami Bera vote percent
The odds
61.39%median
48%68%
Median 61.39%Middle half 58.33% – 64.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.59% on Oct 20, 61.39% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.8K | |
| At least 52% | 96% | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.7K | |
| At least 54% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 56% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 58% | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 4.00 |
| At least 60% | 63% | ▲ 1 | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | |
| At least 62% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 406 |
| At least 64% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 3.00 |
| At least 66% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 4.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Ami Bera
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US midterm elections 2026: Who are the Indian-origin candidates and where are they contesting?The elections will determine which party controls Congress for the final two years of US President Donald Trump’s second term. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats are scheduled to be contested, alongside… -
From Pia Dandiya To Ro Khanna: Meet The Desis Looking To Shape Congress In US Midterm ElectionsThe November 3 US midterm elections will feature six Indian-American Democrats either defending their seats in the House or trying to win new ones. Four sitting members, Ro Khanna, Pramila Jayapal, Ami Bera and Suhas Subramanyam, are… -
Krishnamoorthi urges action against ‘exploding’ anti-Indian hate onlineU.S. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi has accused major technology companies of profiting from online hatred targeting Indian, Hindu and broader South Asian communities, calling for congressional action to hold social media platforms accountable… -
Additional California federal lawmakers receive suspicious white powder envelopesCalifornia federal lawmakers continue to report this week that they are among the dozens of elected officials who have received envelopes containing suspicious white powder. On Tuesday, Reps. Jared Huffman, D-San Rafael, and Jim Costa… -
105 US lawmakers urge FBI to probe Illinois temple plot as hate crimeFederal Bureau of Investigation logo Washington, Oct 21 (PTI) Over 100 US lawmakers shot off a letter to FBI Director Kash Patel to investigate the attempted mass shooting at a Hindu temple in Illinois as a federal hate crime and also… -
105 US lawmakers urge FBI to probe temple shooting:Seek hate crime investigation and answers on online threats targeting Indian origin AmericansMore than 100 US lawmakers have written to FBI Director Kash Patel, urging the bureau to investigate an attempted mass shooting at a Hindu temple in Illinois as a federal hate crime. They have also sought answers on the steps being taken… -
Probe Illinois Temple Plot As Federal Hate Crime: 105 US Lawmakers To FBI DirectorPublished : October 21, 2026 at 6:45 AM IST Washington: Over 100 US lawmakers shot off a letter to FBI Director Kash Patel to investigate the attempted mass shooting at a Hindu temple in Illinois as a federal hate crime and also demanded… -
Over 100 US lawmakers seek hate crime probe into Illinois temple attackMore than 100 US lawmakers have asked FBI Director Kash Patel to investigate an attempted mass shooting at a Hindu temple in Illinois as a federal hate crime, news agency Press Trust of India reported. The lawmakers also sought details of… -
Indian American Lawmakers Lead Backlash Against TrumpWASHINGTON, DC – Indian American lawmakers are among those leading a congressional backlash against President Donald Trump’s decision to waive key measures under a new law targeting countries that buy Russian oil, with critics accusing him… -
“Hinduism teaches non-violence”: Rep Ro Khanna; Reps. Bera, Jayapal express concernCongressman Ro Khanna, D-California, in a post on X.com, condemned the attempted attack on a Hindu temple in Aurora, Illinois, which took place when Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi and his family were worshipping at the temple. “As a Hindu… -
Vivek Ramaswamy, Ro Khanna: 8 Indian-Americans in fray for US midterm electionsThe United States will hold its midterm election on November 3, with President Donald Trump's Republican Party facing a crucial electoral test against the opposition Democratic Party. Against the backdrop of voter concerns over rising… -
Trump Defends 60-Day Russia Sanctions Waiver As US Says Europe Rejected Action Against India, ChinaThe United States has defended President Donald Trump's decision to waive sanctions under the Lindsey O Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act, citing concerns about global energy supplies and the economic consequences of further…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions