Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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CA-27 House election: George Whitesides vote percent
The odds
60.95%median
52%72%
Median 60.95%Middle half 58.28% – 63.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.15% on Oct 19, 60.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 56% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 58% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 200 | |
| At least 60% | 60% | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | ||
| At least 62% | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | ||
| At least 64% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| At least 66% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, George Whitesides
Search ›- Representative George Whitesides introduces H.R. 10854: Public Safety Power Shutoff Data Transparency ActWe have received text from H.R. 10854: Public Safety Power Shutoff Data Transparency Act. This bill was received on 2026-10-19, and currently has no cosponsors. This bill would require the U.S. Department of Energy to create a reporting…
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Reps. Lofgren, Whitesides Introduce Bill to Protect Elections from Intimidation Tactics and InferenceWASHINGTON D.C. – On Friday, Reps. George Whitesides (CA-27) and Zoe Lofgren (CA-18) introduced the Stop Harassment and Intimidations in Elections through Legal Defenses (SHIELD) Our Elections Act, legislation designed to empower state… -
Reps. Whitesides, Lofgren Introduce Bill To Protect Elections From Intimidation Tactics And InterferencePosted by: KHTS News Release in Politics, Press Releases, Santa Clarita Latest News October 24, 2026 - 1:15 pm 0 23 Views The SHIELD Our Elections Act has a senate companion bill led by Senator Alex Padilla (D-CA). Specifically, the SHIELD… -
Election 2026: Here’s what you need to know about LA County’s US House racesAn ongoing House ethics investigation over alleged sexual misconduct, an open seat due to one sitting congressmember’s retirement and the impacts of mid-cycle redistricting – which California voters approved last year – are the story lines… -
Tech bills of the week: Preventing AI model theft; Regulating AI-generated political content; and moreA proposal from Reps. Pat Harrigan, R-N.C., and George Whitesides, D-Calif., looks to prevent distillation attacks against U.S.-made AI models by directing the National Institute for Standards and Technology to develop voluntary industry… -
'Protect Elections from Intimidation Tactics, Inference Act' ProposedReps. George Whitesides (CA-27) and Zoe Lofgren (CA-18) introduced the Stop Harassment and Intimidations in Elections through Legal Defenses (SHIELD) Our Elections Act on Friday, Oct. 23. This legislation is designed to empower state… -
Congressman Pat Harrigan Introduces Legislation to Protect American Innovation and Strengthen Cyber DefensesWASHINGTON, D.C.—Today, Congressman Pat Harrigan (NC-10), alongside Congressman George Whitesides (CA-27), introduced the bipartisan AI Cyber Defense Act, legislation to protect American innovation from foreign exploitation and strengthen… -
Bipartisan Bill Would Direct NIST to Develop Guidance on AI Distillation Attacks· cyber.hendryadrian.com Howl.link The proposed AI Cyber Defense Act would direct NIST to develop voluntary guidance against distillation attacks and establish a roundtable on using AI to defend critical infrastructure. The article reports… -
BRIGHT SPOTS: Week of October 21, 2026Author’s Note: The following are excerpts edited and compiled from press releases and statements from elected officials. Fresh from his own Congressional Delegation (CODEL) trip to Doha, Qatar and Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Murphy also… -
India-US trade deal ‘very close’, says Rubio; talks to focus on energy and tiesUS Secretary of State Marco Rubio has arrived in Mumbai, where he is expected to hold talks with External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar on October 20, as New Delhi and Washington seek to advance bilateral ties. Speaking ahead of the… -
Exclusive — Bureaucratic Nightmare: L.A. Landfill Losing Millions Each Week Due to a Dozen Green Agencies and Dubious Cancer ClaimsA national refuse company has lost nearly a billion dollars in income and spent a billion more trying to satisfy a dozen “green” agencies in California with conflicting demands and regulations that have kept Los Angeles’s second largest… -
Luz Rivas, George Whitesides honored at Valley Economic Alliance eventThe Valley Economic Alliance honored Reps. Luz Rivas and George Whitesides at its annual Awards Recognition Night on Wednesday, Oct. 14, recognizing the two members of Congress for their public service and work on behalf of the San…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions