Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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AZ-06 House election: JoAnna Mendoza vote percent
The odds
53.64%median
42%62%
Median 53.64%Middle half 51.18% – 56.07%
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.72% on Oct 20, 53.64% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 48% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.2K | |
| At least 50% | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 224 | |
| At least 52% | 68% | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 11.00 | |
| At least 54% | 46% | 41¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| At least 56% | 26% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| At least 58% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 60% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, JoAnna Mendoza
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JoAnna Mendoza spent 20 years in the Navy and Marines. Here’s how that’s informed her campaignIn the race for Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, JoAnna Mendoza makes the case that her dedication to fellow veterans sets her apart. JoAnna Mendoza spent 20 years in the US Navy and Marine Corps. Now, the Democrat is drawing from her… -
Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
Joanna Mendoza’s Pelosi Problem: Lobbyist Campaigns With Corrupt Democrat Party Boss In Closing DaysJoanna Mendoza's Pelosi Problem: Lobbyist Campaigns With Corrupt Democrat Party Boss In Closing Days National Republican Congressional Committee Text VICTORY to 21818 to help DEFEND our conservative majority! Joanna Mendoza’s Pelosi… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
Political analysis favors Mendoza over CiscomaniA new analysis puts Democrat JoAnna Mendoza as more likely to win against incumbent Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani. The congressional district 6 race between Mendoza and Ciscomani changed from a “toss-up” ranking to “Leans Democratic,”… -
Musk, Bloomberg PACs pour cash into Ciscomani-Mendoza raceElon Musk’s Political Action Committee spent over $85,000 on digital advertisements against JoAnna Mendoza in just over two weeks, new data from the Federal Election Commission shows. Since Oct. 1, Musk’s America PAC filed spending reports… -
2026 midterm elections: 21 key House races to followKamau Marshall, consultant and chief strategist speaks with LiveNOW's Ryan Schmelz on how the Democrats are looking to take back control of Congress. Control of the U.S. House will be on the line in November, with Republicans defending… -
Cook Report: Democrats flip House, 237 seat majority(The Center Square) - With slightly more than a week until the 2026 midterm elections, political analysts are projecting Democrats will flip as many as 22 seats to gain control of the U.S. House of Representatives. The Cook Political… -
The Gun Control Money Machine Is Ramping Up Before Election DayThe midterm elections are just around the corner and major gun control groups are backing up the Brink’s truck to dump sizeable sums into political races to buy more influence and put anti-Second Amendment politicians into office. With the… -
Hobbs, others rally Democratic supporters at CG eventArizona Gov. Katie Hobbs addresses a large crowd of Democratic supporters during Tuesday evening’s campaign rally at The Landmark Event Center in Casa Grande. Hobbs, who is seeking reelection in the Nov. 3 general election, spoke about her… -
Election 2026 LatinosBluefield Daily Telegraph JoAnna Mendoza (D), an Arizona Congressional District 6 candidate, talks with campaign volunteers before a weekly neighborhood canvass on Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026, in Oro Valley, Ariz. - Bluefield delays decision… -
Latino voters helped put Trump back in the White House. What’s their next move?Home News Highlights Elections Latino voters helped put Trump back in the White House. What’s their next move? The 28-year-old maintenance technician from Casa Grande, Arizona, voted for the Republican president expecting to get a thriving…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions