Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent
The odds
45.45%median
38%58%
Median 45.45%Middle half 43% – 47.95%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.61% on Oct 20, 45.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 42% | 84% | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 519 | |
| At least 44% | 66% | 61¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 200 | |
| At least 46% | 44% | 39¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 48% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 200 |
| At least 50% | 10% | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 3.2K | |
| At least 52% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Juan Ciscomani
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Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
Photos: Look inside America's newest national parkPresident Donald Trump signed the “Chiricahua National Park Act” into law on Tuesday afternoon. Rep. Juan Ciscomani, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, and Mayor of Willcox Greg Hancock were joined by dozens of local park rangers for a… -
Musk, Bloomberg PACs pour cash into Ciscomani-Mendoza raceElon Musk’s Political Action Committee spent over $85,000 on digital advertisements against JoAnna Mendoza in just over two weeks, new data from the Federal Election Commission shows. Since Oct. 1, Musk’s America PAC filed spending reports… -
Cook Report: Democrats flip House, 237 seat majority(The Center Square) - With slightly more than a week until the 2026 midterm elections, political analysts are projecting Democrats will flip as many as 22 seats to gain control of the U.S. House of Representatives. The Cook Political… -
A $30 million problem: Cochise jail costs put supervisors in a bindBudget increase: Supervisors will consider raising the jail project's budget ceiling from $130 million to $160 million, an increase of approximately 23%. Capacity at stake: A cheaper design would provide roughly 305 beds but sacrifice… -
2026 midterm elections: 21 key House races to followKamau Marshall, consultant and chief strategist speaks with LiveNOW's Ryan Schmelz on how the Democrats are looking to take back control of Congress. Control of the U.S. House will be on the line in November, with Republicans defending… -
Forecaster Moves 19 House Races to DemocratsThe Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan forecaster, moved 19 House races toward Democrats on Friday, 23 October 2026. Our 2026 US midterm elections dossier tracks the race up to Election Day on Tuesday, 3 November. This story is part of… -
Trump's House nightmare deepens as famed election guru pushes 19 more races towards DemocratsBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER President Trump and his party are facing fresh warning signs ahead of the midterms as 19 more House races shift toward Democrats, with six competitive seats moving out of toss-up territory and into… -
Elections Forecaster Shifts 19 More House Races In Democrats’ FavorA major elections forecaster shifted 19 House races in the Democrats’ favor Friday, including Republican-held seats. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted some races from “Lean Republican” to a “Toss Up” and others from “Solid… -
Arizona utilities spend on both partiesArizona’s largest utilities are spreading hundreds of thousands of dollars across Republican and Democratic campaigns, seeking influence with whoever controls the state Capitol after the November election. But the utilities' political… -
Analysts: Arizona’s newest national park could drive economy(The Center Square) – Arizona's first national park in six years has the potential to transform a sleepy corner of the state. That’s the verdict from natural resources economists such as Dari Fae Duval of the University of Arizona, who…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions