Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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AZ-02 House election: Jonathan Nez vote percent
The odds
48.33%median
38%58%
Median 48.33%Middle half 46.05% – 50.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.33% on Oct 19, 48.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 44% | 92% | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 200 | |
| At least 46% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 48% | 54% | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | ||
| At least 50% | 32% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 3.6K |
| At least 52% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | |
| At least 54% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Jonathan Nez
Search ›-
Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
ICT NEWSCAST: Death investigation in Winnemucca, Native candidates and moreThe ICT Newscast for Friday, Oct. 23, 2026, covers candidate profiles, a men’s wellness camp. Check out the ICT Newscast on YouTube for this episode and more. Death of Paiute, Shoshone woman unsolved in Nevada Women candidates poised for… -
Former President Nez warns Trump census proposal could weaken Native representationPosted by Donovan Quintero | Oct 22, 2026 | News | Former President Jonathan Nez says the Navajo Nation should oppose a Trump administration proposal to remove race and ethnicity questions from the 2030 census. “This is a big issue that… -
Hobbs, others rally Democratic supporters at CG eventArizona Gov. Katie Hobbs addresses a large crowd of Democratic supporters during Tuesday evening’s campaign rally at The Landmark Event Center in Casa Grande. Hobbs, who is seeking reelection in the Nov. 3 general election, spoke about her… - Meet the Press NOW — October 21House candidate and former President of the Navajo Nation Jonathan Nez (D-Ariz.) joins Meet the Press NOW to discuss his campaign for office as Democrats look to win a district that President Trump held by more than 15 points in 2024. A…
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2026 Election: Arizona Congressional District 2 explained: What to know about the raceLeft: President of the Navajo Nation Jonathan Nez stands in the Monument Valley Tribal Park. Right: Representative Eli Crane, a Republican from Arizona, during a House Oversight and Accountability Committee hearing in Washington, DC, US… -
DCCC Jumps Into Three New House RacesThe Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is adding spending, as it drops $16 million in coordinated TV ads in the second to last week of the campaign. In Arizona’s 2nd, where the DCCC is now spending, Rep. Eli Crane faces Jonathan… - Trump keeps promising ‘goodies’ on the campaign trail — but only if Republicans winTrump Corruption & Anti-Corruption News The Department of Justice is examining reports of thousands of noncitizens registered to vote. Rep. Greg Landsman (D-Ohio) joins Meet the Press NOW to discuss his campaign for reelection in Ohio’s…
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Five candidates vie for three seats on Flagstaff City Council; mayor faces write-in challenge100th Anniversary Sale! Get 2 years of digital access for only $100/year City council candidates took part in a forum at the Murdoch Center in September to answer questions about issues affecting Southside residents and business owners… - Election 2026: Five candidates vie for three seats on Flagstaff City Council; mayor unopposedCity council candidates took part in a forum at the Murdoch Center in September to answer questions about issues affecting Southside residents and business owners. The top three vote-getters among the five candidates will earn a four-year…
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15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.48%median
36%56%
Median 44.48%Middle half 41.43% – 47.09%
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10.72%median
0%16%
Median 10.72%Middle half 8.36% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.92% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions