Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent
The odds
46.24%median
38%58%
Median 46.24%Middle half 43.67% – 48.76%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.57% on Oct 19, 46.24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 42% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 44% | 73% | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| At least 46% | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 63.00 | |
| At least 48% | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| At least 50% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 3.4K | |
| At least 52% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Jay Feely
Search ›-
Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… - Indian-American Democrat Amish Shah Faces Trump-Backed Jay Feely in Arizona House Race“President Donald Trump and his allies are mounting a last-minute mission to shore up his longtime personal friend in a battleground Arizona district,” Politico reported Friday in an article headlined “Meet Trump’s Favorite House…
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Jay Feely, Arizona Republican House candidate and former NFL kicker, talks campaignCBS News Ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely on GOP House campaign An AI doom scenario that isn't well-known The data risks of personal AI agents Democrats to hold post-midterm summit Sources: Musk restricted Ukraine's satellite access Trump: U.S. has… -
Jay Feely has AI industry backing. Now a $750K campaign wants him outGuardrails Alliance is targeting the Republican nominee over his pro-data center platform and $600,000 in support from an AI industry super PAC. In one of Arizona’s most competitive House races, an AI accountability group is dropping… - Arizona 1st District Election 2026: Amish Shah vs. Jay FeelyMLB Picks Tampa Bay Rays Cleveland Guardians NFL Picks College Football Picks Politics News Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Republican candidate Jay Feely is a name that will be familiar to many NFL fans who spent 14 years as a…
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MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. - How Trump is trying to save his longtime golf buddy in battleground ArizonaThe pro-Trump cavalry has arrived for Republican Jay Feely, who is in a tight House race against Democrat Amish Shah. GOP House candidate Jay Feely of Arizona speaks during the Republican National Convention in Dallas on Sept. 9, 2026. |…
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Indian-Americans Amish Shah, Pia Dandiya favoured in key US House racesIndian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya have favourable prospects in their races for the US House of Representatives in Arizona and Florida, according to pre-election predictions reported by news agency Press Trust of India… -
Two Indian-American candidates face key US midterm races as early voting beginsWashington, Oct 25 (PTI) Indian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya have favourable prospects in their respective races for the US House of Representatives in Arizona and Florida in the midterm elections, according to pre-poll… -
Politics Unplugged Podcast: Election countdown with Laura GersonyWith Election Day nearing, Arizona’s congressional races are drawing national attention. Arizona Republic reporter Laura Gersony joins Politics Unplugged to break down the high-stakes fights in AZ-01 and AZ-06, where the House majority… -
Politics Unplugged Podcast: Jay Feely gets pressed on Trump’s policiesIn this Politics Unplugged interview, Republican congressional candidate Jay Feely explains why he skipped President Donald Trump’s Bullhead City rally while maintaining his support for the president’s policies. Feely addresses his…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions