Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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AZ-01 House election: Amish Shah vote percent
The odds
52.5%median
42%62%
Median 52.5%Middle half 50.05% – 54.97%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.7% on Oct 20, 52.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 48% | 90% | ▼ 3 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 50% | 76% | ▼ 3 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 1.8K |
| At least 52% | 56% | ▼ 5 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 2.00 |
| At least 54% | 34% | ▼ 5 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 14.00 |
| At least 56% | 16% | ▼ 4 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 6.00 |
| At least 58% | 7% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| At least 60% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Amish Shah
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Indian-Americans Amish Shah, Pia Dandiya favoured in key US House racesIndian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya have favourable prospects in their races for the US House of Representatives in Arizona and Florida, according to pre-election predictions reported by news agency Press Trust of India… - Indian-American Democrat Amish Shah Faces Trump-Backed Jay Feely in Arizona House Race“President Donald Trump and his allies are mounting a last-minute mission to shore up his longtime personal friend in a battleground Arizona district,” Politico reported Friday in an article headlined “Meet Trump’s Favorite House…
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Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
Socialist Amish Shah Imports Nancy Pelosi For Photo Op, Undermining His LiesNational Republican Congressional Committee Socialist Amish Shah brought corrupt Nancy Pelosi to Phoenix yesterday, blowing his cover and exposing him as a 100 percent Democrat Party rubber stamp. Why it matters: Socialist Shah spent… - Arizona 1st District Election 2026: Amish Shah vs. Jay FeelyMLB Picks Tampa Bay Rays Cleveland Guardians NFL Picks College Football Picks Politics News Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Republican candidate Jay Feely is a name that will be familiar to many NFL fans who spent 14 years as a…
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MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. - How Trump is trying to save his longtime golf buddy in battleground ArizonaThe pro-Trump cavalry has arrived for Republican Jay Feely, who is in a tight House race against Democrat Amish Shah. GOP House candidate Jay Feely of Arizona speaks during the Republican National Convention in Dallas on Sept. 9, 2026. |…
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False ad distorts Amish Shah’s record on sex offendersThe Arizona legislator never voted to let child molesters into schools, despite Republican claims. Dr. Amish Shah did not vote to let convicted child molesters “back into our schools,” as a new attack ad falsely claims. The TV spot is… -
US midterm elections 2026: Who are the Indian-origin candidates and where are they contesting?The elections will determine which party controls Congress for the final two years of US President Donald Trump’s second term. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats are scheduled to be contested, alongside… -
Early voting opens in Indian-American battlegrounds from Texas to FloridaWashington, Oct 19 (IANS) Voters in Texas and Florida’s Palm Beach County begin casting early ballots on Monday in races where Indian-American candidates are fighting for state and congressional seats ahead of the November 3 midterms. In… -
Two Indian-American candidates face key US midterm races as early voting beginsWashington, Oct 25 (PTI) Indian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya have favourable prospects in their respective races for the US House of Representatives in Arizona and Florida in the midterm elections, according to pre-poll… -
From Pia Dandiya To Ro Khanna: Meet The Desis Looking To Shape Congress In US Midterm ElectionsThe November 3 US midterm elections will feature six Indian-American Democrats either defending their seats in the House or trying to win new ones. Four sitting members, Ro Khanna, Pramila Jayapal, Ami Bera and Suhas Subramanyam, are…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions