Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent
The odds
47.58%median
36%58%
Median 47.58%Middle half 45.94% – 49.3%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.97% on Oct 20, 47.58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 44% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 46% | 75% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | |
| At least 48% | 44% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 3.4K |
| At least 50% | 15% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.3K |
| At least 52% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 200 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 300 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wisconsin Governor, Tom Tiffany
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Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany stops in Green Bay on bus tourCongressman and Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany stopped in Green Bay as part of his bus tour on Sunday. Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany stops in Green Bay on bus tour ‘I Am Jane Doe’ rally in Appleton supports… -
Wisconsin governor candidates David Crowley, Tom Tiffany clash on taxes, schools in only debateDemocrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany faced off at Marquette University in their sole debate, sparring over cost of living, education funding and healthcare as polls show a tight race. Voters watched the only debate between the… -
David Crowley, Tom Tiffany clash on taxes, abortion and private school vouchers in Wisconsin governor debateCrowley used every opening to tie Tiffany to Donald Trump while Tiffany made the case for using the state’s $3 billion surplus to cut taxes Oct 22, 2026, 10:22 AM CT With less than two weeks until Election Day and early voting already… -
David Crowley and Tom Tiffany square off in lone debate for Wisconsin governor's raceAZ Family David Crowley and Tom Tiffany square off in lone debate for Wisconsin governor's race Why storm chasers flocked to Arizona this week Hail damages cars, windows in north Phoenix during storm Hornets Ryan Kalkbrenner and Brandon… -
Data center policy key part of Wisconsin governor's raceDemocratic candidate for Wisconsin governor David Crowley, left, and Republican candidate Tom Tiffany, right. LaShawnda Jones / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY-SA 4.0, Gage Skidmore / Flickr / CC BY-SA 4.0 (The Center Square) – Both Wisconsin… -
Tom Tiffany Tries to Distance Himself From TrumpJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “President Trump has been urging Republican voters to pretend that he is on the ballot for the midterm elections. One of his leading allies, the Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany, is… -
Protestors criticize Tom Tiffany ahead of Wisconsin governor debateProtestors opposed to Republican governor candidate Tom Tiffany demonstrate ahead of the Wisconsin governor debate at Marquette University. WISN 12 News hosted the debate. White House Correspondents’ Association President Jacqui Heinrich… -
See David Crowley, Tom Tiffany meet in Wisconsin governor debateDavid Crowley, Tom Tiffany meet in Oct. 21 Wisconsin governor debate at Marquette University. By Kyu-seok Shim SEOUL, Oct 22 (Reuters) - North Korea will place anti-South Korea loudspeakers on standby along the entire border within days… -
Wisconsin governor candidates tangle over the economy, Trump and the 2020 election in tense debateDemocrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany sparred Wednesday night in their sole debate in Wisconsin’s race for governor, sniping at each other on affordability, President Donald Trump, abortion and the 2020 election. Crowley, the… -
Wisconsin governor debate reaction; Point TakenDavid Crowley and Tom Tiffany finally shared a debate stage Wednesday night, but Point Taken hosts Steve Scaffidi and Kristin Brey came away wanting more specifics from both candidates. “Light on details,” Brey said while breaking down the… -
Candidates for Wisconsin Governor meet in their only debateThe candidates for Wisconsin Governor met for their only debate. Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and Republican Congressman Tom Tiffany are seeking the state’s top job. During opening statements, Crowley talked about… -
Tom Tiffany campaign staffer Eric Brooks cited for first-offense OWI ahead of tough Wisconsin gubernatorial raceA staff member for Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany’s campaign has been cited for first-offense operating while intoxicated (OWI) in Wisconsin, according to Eau Claire County court records reviewed by local news outlet The…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.55%median
36%56%
Median 44.55%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions