Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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Vermont Governor election: Amanda Janoo vote percent
The odds
46.79%median
21%57%
Median 46.79%Middle half 44.2% – 49.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.63% on Oct 19, 46.79% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 27% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 33% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 39% | 97% | ▲ 2 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 42% | 92% | ▲ 4 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 27.00 |
| At least 45% | 69% | ▲ 8 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 11.00 |
| At least 46% | 60% | ▲ 9 | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | |
| At least 47% | 48% | ▲ 8 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 11.00 |
| At least 48% | 37% | ▲ 7 | 32¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 18.00 |
| At least 51% | 12% | ▲ 4 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| At least 54% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Vermont Governor, Amanda Janoo
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Bernie Sanders Hits the Campaign Trail with Amanda Janoo in WinooskiU.S. Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) joined Democratic/Progressive gubernatorial candidate Amanda Janoo in Winooski on Thursday, lending his political star power to her campaign against incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott less than two… -
Gov. Scott put property taxes and school consolidation center stage. Now Amanda Janoo is rallying opposition.JERICHO — Henry Listenik Jr. says he’s paying double what he did last year in property taxes. The 69-year-old voted for Gov. Phil Scott in 2024, but Listenik said he doesn’t think Scott has followed through on his promises. Now Listenik… -
Bernie Sanders makes rare Vermont campaign appearance, stumping with Amanda Janoo to push universal primary carePrepare for Vermont’s Nov. 3 general election with VTDigger’s 2026 Election Guide. Get the latest reporting from towns across Vermont delivered each morning in Daily Digger, our free newsletter. WINOOSKI — Bernie Sanders is a regular sight… -
Amanda Janoo for governorNew ideas, based in Amanda’s economic expertise and years of experience helping governments across the country and around the world build economies that put people first. That’s what Amada Janoo will bring us. She’s committed to investing… -
5 takeaways from Phil Scott and Amanda Janoo’s first debate of the campaignPrepare for Vermont’s Nov. 3 general election with VTDigger’s 2026 Election Guide. Get the latest reporting from towns across Vermont delivered each morning in Daily Digger, our free newsletter. Vermont’s leading candidates for governor… - Phil Scott, Amanda Janoo face off in NBC5's Vermont gubernatorial debateVermont gubernatorial candidates Phil Scott and Amanda Janoo are facing off in a live debate at NBC5's South Burlington studios on Thursday night. Gov. Scott, a Republican, is looking to be elected to a historic sixth term in office…
- Learn more about the independent and third-party candidates running for Vermont GovernorFor full profiles on the candidates, click the link in their name. As NBC5 hosts Republican Gov. Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo for a live debate Thursday evening, other candidates will be on the ballot too. Three different names are…
- Candidates for Vermont governor prepare for debate as Election Day nearsVermont's gubernatorial candidates, Phil Scott and Amanda Janoo, are focusing on messaging and policy priorities ahead of a debate hosted by NBC5, with Election Day less than two weeks away. Vermont's gubernatorial candidates, Republican…
- 802 News: Interviews with Amanda Janoo, Phil ScottWCAX 802 News: Interviews with Amanda Janoo, Phil Scott Vermont weighs new tax on high earners amid budget pressures Vanishing Vermont: Preserving farmland or pushing farmers out? Beta Technologies gets FAA authorization to fly customers…
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NBC5 to host Vermont governor's debate on Thursday nightNBC5 is hosting a live debate between Vermont gubernatorial candidates Phil Scott and Amanda Janoo on Thursday night, Oct. 22. The debate is scheduled to begin at 8 p.m. and will be available to watch on television, on our website and on… -
Vermont Conversation: ‘We can’t solve our problems with the same thinking that created them.’ Amanda Janoo would ‘lead a different way.’Prepare for Vermont’s Nov. 3 general election with VTDigger’s 2026 Election Guide. Get the latest reporting from towns across Vermont delivered each morning in Daily Digger, our free newsletter. Who is Amanda Janoo? And how is this… -
WATCH LIVE: Gov. Scott, challenger Janoo face off in Vermont governor debateVermont Republican Gov. Phil Scott and Democratic challenger Amanda Janoo will face off in a debate Wednesday. The debate begins at 7 p.m. EDT. Watch live from Vermont Public in the video player above. The event will be moderated by…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions