Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent
The odds
48.56%median
34%56%
Median 48.56%Middle half 46.53% – 50.46%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.65% on Oct 20, 48.56% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 82.00 | ||
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 82.00 | ||
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 210 | ||
| At least 42% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 364 | ||
| At least 44% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | $1.05 | 349 | |
| At least 46% | 80% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 199 |
| At least 47% | 71% | 66¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 419 | |
| At least 48% | 58% | 53¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 1.6K | |
| At least 50% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 397 |
| At least 52% | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 96.00 |
| At least 54% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 611 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Governor, Gina Hinojosa
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Transcript: Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 25, 2026October 25, 2026 / 11:21 AM EDT / CBS News The following is the transcript of the interview with Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa that aired on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" on Oct. 25, 2026. MARGARET… -
Gina Hinojosa says there's "deep disappointment in both political parties" in Texas right nowGina Hinojosa, the Democrat running for governor in Texas, told "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" that "my agenda is not a Democratic agenda," saying that because there's "deep disappointment in both political parties, people are… -
Gina Hinojosa is ‘further to the radical left’ than Talarico, Gov Greg Abbott saysTexas Gov. Greg Abbott discusses key political matchups in the state and CAIR Action's support for Democratic candidates James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa on ‘The Will Cain Show.’ ... Gina Hinojosa is ‘further to the radical left’ than… -
Sen. Thom Tillis, Attorney General Todd Blanche and Gina Hinojosa set to appear on "Face the Nation"Sunday's "Face the Nation" is set to feature Republican Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina, Attorney General Todd Blanche and Texas Democratic gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa. CBS News chief foreign affairs correspondent and "Face the… -
Today on Texas Standard: Gina Hinojosa makes her case for Texas governorBy Texas StandardOctober 23, 2026 9:07 amTexas Standard Original, Whole Shows Here’s what’s coming up on Texas Standard for Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. Listen on your Texas public radio station, or ask your smart speaker to play Texas Standard… -
Gina Hinojosa cites affordability, support for public education in bid for Texas governorPolls are showing the Democrat is giving incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott one of his toughest reelection races in years. By Sarah AschOctober 23, 2026 12:56 pmGovernment & Politics, Texas Standard Original Leila Saidane / KUT News… -
Texas governor candidate Gina Hinojosa brings campaign tour to HoustonGina Hinojosa, the Democratic candidate for governor, rallied with voters in Montrose and at the University of Houston on Thursday, the fourth day in a row that high-profile Democrats have campaigned in the Bayou City since early voting… -
Bill Clements documentary revisits his 1978 Texas governor’s raceFilmmaker Mat Hames can't help but spread the word about a Texas political figure who was foolish enough to think he could break one political party's stranglehold on Texas elections and maybe even usher in an unheard-of era of… -
Gina Hinojosa’s Populism for DemocratsThe women found the ad persuasive. “The people in power are governing from a position of opulence,” one said. “They have no idea what low-income folks are going through.” Not everyone was familiar with Hinojosa’s trajectory, but they all… -
Gina Hinojosa holds get-out-the-vote events in Houston, Fort Bend CountyTexas gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa is scheduled to make three stops in the Houston area Thursday as part of her get-out-the-vote (GOTV) efforts. The events include early voting stops in Fort Bend County and Houston, followed by a… -
REPLAY: Texas Governor Hosts Get-Out-the-Vote Event in LindaleTexas Gov. Greg Abbott hosts a get-out-the-vote event in Lindale, Texas, on Oct. 23, ahead of the November midterm elections. REPLAY: Texas Governor Hosts Get-Out-the-Vote Event in Lindale -
Texas governor odds tighten as Hinojosa closes polling gap on AbbottDemocratic candidate Gina Hinojosa's odds in the Texas governor race have tripled since summer, rising from single digits in mid-July to 37% by late October. While incumbent Governor Greg Abbott continues to hold a strong lead on Kalshi's…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions