South Dakota Governor election: Dan Ahlers vote percent

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.6K traded · $961 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

42.05%median
28%50%
Median 42.05%Middle half 39.31% – 44.73%

How the odds have moved

Median: 38.8% on Oct 19, 42.05% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 30% 98% 95¢ $1.03
At least 32% 98% 95¢ $1.03
At least 34% 97% 94¢ $1.03
At least 36% 95% ▲ 1 90¢ 99¢ $1.01 604
At least 38% 86% ▲ 1 81¢ 90¢ $1.11 200
At least 40% 70% ▲ 1 65¢ 74¢ $1.35
At least 42% 51% ▲ 1 46¢ 55¢ $1.82 1.3K
At least 44% 31% ▲ 1 26¢ 35¢ $2.86 476
At least 46% 16% 11¢ 20¢ $5.00 294
At least 48% 7% 2¢ 11¢ $9.09

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: South Dakota Governor, Dan Ahlers

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  • South Dakota 2026 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days ago2026 results › South Dakota General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in South Dakota close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the…
  • Poll shows Rhoden leading Ahlers in race for South Dakota governorSDPB · 6 days agoA new poll says incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden is leading Democrat challenger Dan Ahlers in the race for South Dakota governor. The poll shows Rhoden with 56 percent support, compared to 36 percent for Ahlers. Eight percent are…
  • South Dakota election polls reaching drastically different conclusions@dakotanews_now · 2 days agoRepublican Gov. Larry Rhoden leads Democratic challenger Dan Ahlers 56% to 36%, according to the latest South Dakota Poll sponsored by News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the ... South Dakota election polls reaching…
  • Poll: Sen. Rounds leads challenger Bengs 56-37%@dakotanews_now · 32 h ago(South Dakota News Watch) - Republican Sen. Mike Rounds leads Independent challenger Brian Bengs 56% to 37%, according to the latest South Dakota Poll sponsored by News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South…
  • South Dakota 2010 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 30 h agoMultiState 2010 results › South Dakota Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts…
  • Lake County Democrats Drain Piggy Bank Backing Candidates; Lake County Republicans Supporting NobodyDakota Free Press · 3 days agoChecking the District 12 Senate campaign finance reports got me looking at my old local party, the Lake County Democrats, who admirably aren’t leaving anything in the tank. Their pre-general … Lake County Democrats Drain Piggy Bank Backing…
  • Kristi Noem Takes Senior Adviser Role at State DepartmentExecutive Gov · 3 days agoFormer Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem will serve as a senior adviser at the State Department after her six-month appointment as special envoy for the Shield of the Americas program expired. Noem confirmed the appointment’s…
  • South Dakota 2026 Poll: Republican Sen. Rounds Leads Independent Bengs 50% to 42%Emerson Polling · 3 days agoRhoden Holds Double-Digit Lead in Gubernatorial Race A new Emerson College Polling/KELOLAND poll finds 50% of voters support incumbent Republican Senator Mike Rounds, while 42% support independent candidate Brian Bengs. Eight percent are…
  • Gov. Rhoden Deploys Guardsmen to Southern BorderSouth Dakota War College · 4 days ago?We have the most secure border in American history! But there is still more work to do, and we cannot give up the fight,” said Governor Larry Rhoden. “I am proud of our brave guardsmen for serving with strength and courage. Their mission…
  • Poll: Rounds Leads Bengs In S. Dakota Senate RaceYankton Press & Dakotan · 3 days agoRepublican Sen. Mike Rounds leads Independent challenger Brian Bengs 56% to 37%, according to the latest South Dakota Poll sponsored by News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota. The Oct. 12-14…
  • Kristi Noem Takes New State Department Role After Homeland Security ExitKOTA · 5 days agoWASHINGTON, D.C. – Former South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem is back in a federal government role. Noem has been named a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau. According to a source familiar with the appointment…
  • Governor helps cut ribbon on new Single Engine Air Tanker baseDaily Dispatch · 5 days agoDailyDispatch.com Home » Fire News » South Dakota Fire News » Governor helps cut ribbon on new Single Engine Air Tanker base South Dakota Governor Larry Rhoden was on hand to cut the ribbon on the new Single Engine Air Tanker (SEAT) Base…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions