Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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South Carolina Governor election: Jermaine Johnson vote percent
The odds
43.83%median
34%56%
Median 43.83%Middle half 41.53% – 46.27%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42% on Oct 19, 43.83% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 38% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 40% | 88% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 156 |
| At least 42% | 71% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 2.00 |
| At least 44% | 48% | ▲ 1 | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 19.00 |
| At least 46% | 27% | ▲ 2 | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 5.00 |
| At least 48% | 12% | ▲ 3 | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 50% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 4.7K | |
| At least 52% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 188 | |
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 503 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina Governor, Jermaine Johnson
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Nikki Haley, asked if she thinks Trump is a "good candidate," replies "I think he is the Republican nominee"Updated on: September 6, 2024 / 5:16 PM EDT / CBS News Nikki Haley, the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, said she doesn't always agree with former President Donald Trump's communications, style or approach, but she backs his… -
VIDEO: South Carolina governor’s race enters two-week sprintLive 5 News VIDEO: South Carolina governor’s race enters two-week sprint VIDEO: City of Charleston Commission on Women to find solutions for affordable child care VIDEO: A bracelet with a big purpose: Berkeley Co. launches life-saving… -
South Carolina governor candidates campaign as early voting beginsWRDW South Carolina governor candidates campaign as early voting begins North Augusta approves rezoning for Victory Baptist Church Authorities look for missing people across the CSRA Cold mornings and seasonal afternoons through the week… -
South Carolina governor’s race enters two-week sprintCOLUMBIA, S.C. (WCSC) — Early voting is underway in South Carolina, and with just two weeks until Election Day, the state’s gubernatorial candidates are making a final push to win over voters. Republican nominee Alan Wilson and Democratic… -
Alan Wilson to visit CSRA ahead of S.C. gubernatorial voteWilson, South Carolina’s attorney general, is running to succeed term-limited Gov. Henry McMaster. GREENVILLE, S.C. (WRDW/WAGT) - Republican candidate for S.C. governor Alan Wilson is holding a series of campaign events leading up to the… -
South Carolina's Historic Senate Race Pits Two Women in a Tightening Dead-Heat FightEleven days before South Carolina voters render their verdict on a race that was never supposed to be competitive, the contest for the Palmetto State's open Senate seat has become one of the most scrutinized in the 2026 midterm cycle — a… -
Vivek Ramaswamy, An Ad, Sexual Assault & Mental Health: The $4-Million Campaign ExplainedThe Vivek Ramaswamy ad row refers to a major political controversy sparked in October 2026 by a $4 million statewide campaign advertisement released by Ramaswamy, the Republican nominee for Governor of Ohio. The advertisement has ignited… -
Nikki Haley calls Vivek Ramaswamy a ‘bad guy’ as Republicans rift deepensRepublicans are increasingly divided over Vivek Ramaswamy’s campaign for Ohio governor after an attack ad targeting his Democratic opponent, Amy Acton, drew criticism from prominent members of his own party, including former presidential… -
Trump Repeatedly Short-Circuits During Rally SpeechPresident Donald Trump won’t stop inserting wild sound effects into his already incoherent rants. After holding 21 campaign rallies in the span of just two months, the evidently exhausted 80-year-old president appeared to short-circuit… -
More than 280K early votes cast so far in South CarolinaCOLUMBIA, S.C. - Over 280,000 ballots have been cast over the first three days of South Carolina’s early voting period. Data from the South Carolina Election Commission shows 88,108 ballots were cast statewide on Wednesday, bringing the… -
Former GOP governor David Beasley says Trump's 'demeaning' rhetoric pushed him from partyDavid Beasley spent more than three decades as a Republican, serving as South Carolina’s governor before leading Nobel Peace Prize-winning efforts at the U.N. World Food Programme. Recently, he announced that he’s walking away from his… -
Haley Says Ramaswamy’s Ugly Ohio Ad Proves Her Point: He’s A Bad GuyCOLUMBUS, OH – Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley criticized Vivek Ramaswamy, accusing the Ohio MAGA gubernatorial candidate of demonstrating the same willingness to use personal attacks that marked their bitter rivalry during the…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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10.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
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Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions