Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Oregon Governor election: Tina Kotek vote percent
The odds
51.09%median
44%66%
Median 51.09%Middle half 48.68% – 53.45%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.78% on Oct 20, 51.09% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 792 | |
| At least 48% | 82% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 1.1K |
| At least 50% | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 2.00 | |
| At least 52% | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 45.00 | |
| At least 54% | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 467 | |
| At least 56% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oregon Governor, Tina Kotek
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Tina Kotek Just Ahead in Oregon Governor’s RaceA new The Oregonian/OregonLive/DHM Research poll in Oregon finds Tina Kotek (D) leading Christine Drazan (R) in the governor’s race, 46% to 44%. Oregon Governor’s Race Tina Kotek (D) 46% Christine Drazan (R) 44% The… -
PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretchIncumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek has outpaced Republican challenger Christine Drazan in fundraising for the Nov. 3 election,… PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretch Incumbent Democratic Gov… - Phil Knight on Backing Anti-Abortion Republican Candidate for Oregon Governor: 'I’m More Conservative Than Nike'Phil Knight has chosen to back the Republican candidate in the tight Oregon governor race, Christine Drazan, who has also been outspoken about her anti-abortion views. He currently serves as the chairman emeritus of Nike’s board and…
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Conservative Legislator Drazan Wins GOP Nod for Oregon GovernorChristine Drazan secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, positioning herself for a general election showdown against Democratic incumbent Tina Kotek this fall. Drazan's primary victory clears the field on the Republican side… -
Guest Column: Next Oregon governor must bring commitment to preventionPublished 7:29 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 By Jean Carlton, Debra Gaisford, Paul Kemp, Carol Manstrom and Jess Marks/ After the horrific tragedy at Silver Rail Elementary School, our community and state are reeling. We need time and… -
Two longtime rivals seek new audiences in Oregon governor’s race. Who will persuade voters?Published 8:56 am Tuesday, October 20, 2026 In her second quest to defeat Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek, Sen. Christine Drazan, R-Canby, has gone straight into the political lion’s den. She has announced policy plans to reduce taxes and… - Why Portland failed where Portugal succeeded in decriminalizing drugsOregon lawmakers gave it three years. Portugal’s program took longer to show results. Public drug use in Portland and a rise in fatal overdoses led the Oregon Legislature to make drug possession for personal use a crime again. | Patrick T…
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City of Umatilla declares state of emergency over Governor’s order pausing data center developmentIn response to an executive order from Oregon Governor Tina Kotek that paused permitting for data centers in the state, the City of Umatilla has declared a local state of emergency due to an expected financial loss the city may experience… - Cyrus Javadi switched parties. Will his Oregon district reelect him anyway?Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. On a sunny Sunday last month, Cyrus Javadi was not having much…
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Drazan Wins GOP Primary, Setting Stage for Rematch with Oregon's Democratic GovernorChristine Drazan has secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, clearing a crowded primary field to face incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek in November. Drazan, a state senator, prevailed over 13 rivals in what amounts to a replay… -
Oregon Lawmakers Renew Push To Ban Guns Like The One Used To Take Down That School ShooterSALEM, OR — After the tragic elementary school attack in the city of Bend, Oregon lawmakers have gathered in a renewed effort to ban the sort of gun that was used to take down the school shooter. Oregon Governor Tina Kotek called for… -
Tim Walz ranks 50th: when it comes to electricity and technology freedomTim Walz earned an “F” grade, and a “50” place ranking, in the new edition of “Freedom in the 50 States,” released by the Cato Institute on October 22, 2026. This was in “Tech and Consumer Freedom,” which is based on four variables…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
16.22%median
8%28%
Median 16.22%Middle half 14.31% – 18.14%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Median 13.88%Middle half 10.9% – 17.52%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.05%median
30%65%
Median 46.05%Middle half 43.07% – 48.94%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions