Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percent
The odds
45.49%median
34%56%
Median 45.49%Middle half 43% – 47.86%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.36% on Oct 20, 45.49% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 38% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 42% | 84% | 80¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 205 | |
| At least 44% | 66% | 62¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 805 | |
| At least 46% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 1.4K |
| At least 48% | 24% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 1.1K |
| At least 50% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 400 |
| At least 52% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 10.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oregon Governor, Christine Drazan
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Tina Kotek Just Ahead in Oregon Governor’s RaceA new The Oregonian/OregonLive/DHM Research poll in Oregon finds Tina Kotek (D) leading Christine Drazan (R) in the governor’s race, 46% to 44%. Oregon Governor’s Race Tina Kotek (D) 46% Christine Drazan (R) 44% The… -
PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretchIncumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek has outpaced Republican challenger Christine Drazan in fundraising for the Nov. 3 election,… PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretch Incumbent Democratic Gov… - Phil Knight on Backing Anti-Abortion Republican Candidate for Oregon Governor: 'I’m More Conservative Than Nike'Phil Knight has chosen to back the Republican candidate in the tight Oregon governor race, Christine Drazan, who has also been outspoken about her anti-abortion views. He currently serves as the chairman emeritus of Nike’s board and…
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Conservative Legislator Drazan Wins GOP Nod for Oregon GovernorChristine Drazan secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, positioning herself for a general election showdown against Democratic incumbent Tina Kotek this fall. Drazan's primary victory clears the field on the Republican side… -
Guest Column: Next Oregon governor must bring commitment to preventionPublished 7:29 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 By Jean Carlton, Debra Gaisford, Paul Kemp, Carol Manstrom and Jess Marks/ After the horrific tragedy at Silver Rail Elementary School, our community and state are reeling. We need time and… -
Two longtime rivals seek new audiences in Oregon governor’s race. Who will persuade voters?Published 8:56 am Tuesday, October 20, 2026 In her second quest to defeat Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek, Sen. Christine Drazan, R-Canby, has gone straight into the political lion’s den. She has announced policy plans to reduce taxes and… -
Christine Drazan says she’s her own person, but will it matter?In Christine Drazan’s most recent advertisement, the Republican gubernatorial candidate looks directly into the camera and promises she won’t ban abortions, she won’t cut healthcare, and she won’t let Washington, D.C. control Oregon. The… -
Drazan Wins GOP Primary, Setting Stage for Rematch with Oregon's Democratic GovernorChristine Drazan has secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, clearing a crowded primary field to face incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek in November. Drazan, a state senator, prevailed over 13 rivals in what amounts to a replay… -
triyaknews.com | Local News from Central WashingtonFriends of the Richland Public Library are hosting their annual fall book sale until the night of Oct. 24. The money made from the event goes back into the library and… Read moreFriends of the Richland Public Library fall book sale opens… -
Big Deal or No Big Deal?! AOC’s Transgender Comments, Clinton vs. McConaughey, and Pentagon Betting BanKyle Campbell, veteran political strategist and host of the Politically Basic podcast, and George Carrillo, a former Democratic candidate for Oregon governor, join Tiffany Meier Tonight for “Big Deal or No Big Deal?!” What would you like… -
Federal election monitors will be on hand in Portland on Election DayElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. FILE — Ballots move through a signature verification system at the… -
2026 Governor Election Odds: Closest Races and Key Battleground StatesWith Election Day approaching on November 3, the 2026 gubernatorial elections are drawing increasing attention as Republicans and Democrats compete for control of state governments across the country. 36 governorships are up for grabs…
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16.22%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
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Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions