Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent
The odds
51.83%median
35%62%
Median 51.83%Middle half 49.55% – 54.06%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.6% on Oct 20, 51.83% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 483 | ||
| At least 41% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 814 | ||
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 188 | ||
| At least 47% | 92% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 120 |
| At least 50% | 72% | 69¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 961 | |
| At least 52% | 48% | ▲ 3 | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 507 |
| At least 53% | 34% | ▲ 2 | 29¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 540 |
| At least 56% | 9% | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 778 | |
| At least 59% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 442 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio Governor, Amy Acton
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Ohio Governor Urges Ramaswamy to Remove Amy Acton Attack Ad: ‘Just Wrong’Oct 22, 2026 at 11:28 AM EDT Ohio Governor Mike DeWine called on Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy to take down advertisements featuring the mother of Democratic candidate Amy Acton. DeWine, a Republican, told reporters it… -
Ohio Governor Race Shifts in Amy Acton’s Favor Following Attack AdOct 22, 2026 at 10:26 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT The race for Ohio governor has shifted in Democrat Amy Acton’s favor, with Sabato’s Crystal Ball moving the contest from Toss-up to Leans Democratic after Republican Vivek… -
MK Pritzker donates $500K to Amy Acton's Ohio governor campaign after Ramaswamy attack adsCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. MK Pritzker donates $500K… -
Illinois First Lady MK Pritzker donates $500K to Amy Acton's Ohio governor campaign after Ramaswamy attack adsOctober 21, 2026 / 2:28 PM CDT / CBS Chicago Illinois First Lady MK Pritzker donated $500,000 to Amy Acton's campaign to become Ohio governor in the wake of Republican Vivek Ramaswamy releasing attack ads featuring her estranger mother… -
Obama endorses Amy Acton in 2026 Ohio governor raceEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
New documents reveal Amy Acton's estranged mother has troubling pastNew records obtained by CNN detail the criminal past of Donna Arthur, the estranged mother featured in Vivek Ramaswamyâs controversial attack ad against Democrat Amy Acton. According to the records, Arthur has a prior conviction for… -
Amy Acton Hits Back at Vivek Ramaswamy Over Ad at Obama RallyOct 24, 2026 at 04:17 PM EDT Oct 24, 2026 at 04:20 PM EDT Democratic Ohio gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton delivered a personal rebuke of Republican rival Vivek Ramaswamy at a Cleveland rally headlined by former President Barack Obama on… -
Vivek Ramaswamy campaign switches to shorter version of attack ad featuring Amy Acton’s estranged motherVivek Ramaswamy is switching to a 30-second version of the attack ad featuring the estranged mother of Amy Acton, his Democratic opponent in the Ohio race for governor, a person close to the Republican’s campaign told NBC News. Vivek… -
Trump Praises Amy Acton’s ‘Smart’ Mother for Vivek Ramaswamy Attack AdOct 23, 2026 at 11:18 AM EDT President Donald Trump defended a controversial campaign ad from Ohio Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy featuring Democratic rival Amy Acton’s estranged mother, praising her decision to… -
Trump defends Ramaswamy despite bipartisan outrage over attack ad against Amy ActonPresident Trump on Thursday defended the Republican nominee for Ohio governor, Vivek Ramaswamy, amid backlash from a controversial attack ad that featured the estranged mother of Ramaswamy's opponent, Amy Acton. CBS News' Roberta Costa… -
Trump doubles down on defending Vivek Ramaswamy’s attack ad against Amy ActonPresident Donald Trump doubled down Friday on his support of a widely condemned attack ad against Democratic Ohio gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton, saying that he won’t change his mind about the $4 million ad campaign by her Republican… -
‘People don’t trust her’: Ohio GOP strategist outlines case against Amy Acton for governorFox News Digital spoke to attorney Mehek Cooke about Vivek Ramaswamy’s controversial gubernatorial ad and why she believes Amy Acton’s record disqualifies her from leading. ‘People don’t trust her’: Ohio GOP strategist outlines case…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions