Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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New York Governor election: Kathy Hochul vote percent
The odds
56.28%median
48%68%
Median 56.28%Middle half 54.38% – 58.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.29% on Oct 20, 56.28% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.4K |
| At least 52% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 437 |
| At least 54% | 80% | ▼ 2 | 78¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 469 |
| At least 56% | 54% | ▼ 5 | 50¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 5.2K |
| At least 58% | 28% | ▼ 8 | 25¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 2.4K |
| At least 60% | 14% | ▼ 2 | 12¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 2.6K |
| At least 62% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.4K | |
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 405 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Governor, Kathy Hochul
Search ›-
Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani's 'puppet' during New York campaign rallyRepublican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Republican New York… -
Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… -
Michael Goodwin: Bruce Blakeman says he’ll ‘shock the world’ and kick Kathy Hochul out of AlbanyThe most important question of the week comes from the Wall Street Journal editorial board. As usual, its headline gets straight to the point, asking, “Is New York stuck with Kathy Hochul?” I winced, yet dared to hope the writers had found… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
Mamdani to finally campaign with NY Gov. Kathy Hochul as she seeks re-electionBig Apple Mayor Zohran Mamdani will finally hit the campaign trail with Gov. Kathy Hochul — with less than two weeks before Election Day, the incumbent Democrat announced Thursday. Mamdani — who got Hochul’s backing after his stunning… - For real change and a better standard of living, vote Bruce Blakeman over hopeless incumbent Kathy HochulIf you want real change and a better standard of living, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman deserves your vote for governor over incumbent Kathy Hochul — indeed, New Yorkers can’t get rid of her soon enough. Only 40% approve of the job…
- Republican Bruce Blakeman says rival Kathy Hochul stumping with Zohran Mamdani will be ‘boost’ to his campaignRepublican Bruce Blakeman said Thursday he was thrilled that his rival Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul will be campaigning with lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani, calling it a “big boost” for his gubernatorial campaign. “I think that the more Kathy…
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New York governor's race heats up as Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman clash over high energy costsOctober 20, 2026 / 7:26 PM EDT / CBS New York New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman butted heads on the campaign trail Tuesday over energy policy and the increasingly high cost of utility bills. Hochul took… -
Private Polling Now Shows Kathy Hochul Could be Sent Packing as Blakeman Picks Up Steam [WATCH]By Mary Jacobs October 25, 2026 The Wall Street Journal editorial board posed the blunt question looming over New York politics: “Is New York stuck with Kathy Hochul?” Public polling suggests voters may give the governor four more years on… -
NY Gov Kathy Hochul takes credit for Medicare fraud crackdownFox Business NY Gov Kathy Hochul takes credit for Medicare fraud crackdown New York Governor Kathy Hochul claims victory in a Medicaid fraud crackdown. The 'Big Money in the Morning' panel argues that the investigation was prompted by CMS… - Inside Bruce Blakeman’s High-Stakes Surge for New York Governor: Defying Mandates and Uniting the Right Against Kathy HochulBoth candidates outlined their starkly opposing paths for the state on WABC’s Up Close with Mike Marza, pitching their visions to a fractured electorate. Recent Siena polling shows Hochul’s once-dominant advantage narrowing sharply…
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Poll: Hochul has 14-point lead over Blakeman in New York governor’s racePoll: Hochul has 14-point lead over Blakeman in New York governorâs race - The Black Chronicle (The Center Square) â Democratic New York Gov. Kathy Hochul appears poised for another term with a new poll showing her leading Republican…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18.13%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.94% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
30%65%
Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions