Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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Nevada Governor election: Aaron Ford vote percent
The odds
50.08%median
38%60%
Median 50.08%Middle half 47.7% – 52.24%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.88% on Oct 20, 50.08% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 44% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 46% | 89% | ▼ 3 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 55.00 |
| At least 48% | 73% | ▼ 8 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 2.5K |
| At least 50% | 51% | ▼ 10 | 48¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 5.1K |
| At least 52% | 27% | ▼ 7 | 23¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 215 |
| At least 54% | 11% | ▼ 4 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 10.00 |
| At least 56% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | 18.00 | |
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 472 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nevada Governor, Aaron Ford
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'Is mercy fitting?' Here's what Aaron Ford has said about now controversial clemency votesTurn on the television in Nevada, and you're likely to see an ad attacking Democratic governor candidate and Attorney General Aaron Ford for supporting clemency for 30 people convicted of murder. Citing Fox News reporting showing the votes… -
Kamala Harris rallies with Aaron Ford, Culinary Union ahead of Nevada electionLAS VEGAS (FOX5) — Former Vice President Kamala Harris joined Nevada Attorney General and gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford and Rep. Dina Titus at a rally with Culinary Workers Union Local 226 on Wednesday. Harris thanked Culinary Union… -
Election 2026 Nevada GovernorWV News Democratic gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford, attorney general of Nevada, speaks accompanied by Diana Valles, president of the Culinary Union, at the Culinary Workers Union headquarters Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Las Vegas… -
Former VP Harris rallies for AG Aaron Ford ahead of midtermsLAS VEGAS (KLAS) -- With the midterm elections less than two weeks away, former Vice President Kamala Harris rallied alongside Nevada gubernatorial candidate, Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford, and U.S. Congresswoman Dina Titus of… -
FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada GovernorKOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada Governor Cajuns turn focus to Southern Miss after 33-6 bounce-back win over Troy Quincy City Council hears first reading on… -
The Governor’s Race That 2028 Democrats Need to WatchNevada Attorney General Aaron Ford is making his biography and labor record central to his bid for governor. Will skeptical rank-and-file voters buy his pitch? Nevada Attorney General and gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford speaks at a… -
Got a Minute? Danielle Ford, running for Nevada governor, shares her native rootsFOX5 Vegas Got a Minute? Danielle Ford, running for Nevada governor, shares her native roots Got a Minute? Bobby Khan, running for Nevada's first congressional district, shares goals FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford |… -
Why you should pay attention to NevadaPower. Politics. Policy. Every week, in depth. 10/25/2026 08:00 AM EDT Some important questions to consider with less than two weeks until the midterms: Is the dark art of oppo research still viable? Are the polls accurate? And how can we… -
FULL: General Election interview with Danielle Ford | Nevada GovernorFOX5 Vegas FULL: General Election interview with Danielle Ford | Nevada Governor FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada Governor More than 23,000 cast ballots in Clark County early voting opening weekend Got a Minute?… -
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford holds town hallKTVN Democratic Gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford held a town hall in Reno on Monday. He heard from Reno residents about issues affecting them and their vote. During the town hall, Attorney General Ford encouraged early voting and spoke… -
Got a Minute? Attorney General Aaron Ford discusses economy, data centers, crime in Governor raceLAS VEGAS (FOX5) — Attorney General Aaron Ford said the state remains in what he calls the “Lombardo-Trump economy,” citing high housing, healthcare and energy costs as he continues campaigning for governor. Ford spoke in an interview… - Photograph : Kamala Harris Campaigns At Culinary UnionKamala Harris Campaigns At Culinary Union Attorney General Aaron Ford, Democratic candidate for Nevada governor, speaks to union members during an event at the Culinary Workers Union, Local 226, headquarters Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026. Diana…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions