Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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New Hampshire Governor election: Kelly Ayotte vote percent
The odds
54.25%median
44%66%
Median 54.25%Middle half 52.04% – 56.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.92% on Oct 20, 54.25% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 294 | ||
| At least 48% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | 800 | ||
| At least 50% | 91% | 88¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 452 | |
| At least 52% | 76% | 72¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 1.7K | |
| At least 54% | 53% | 49¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 15.00 | |
| At least 56% | 29% | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 5.00 | |
| At least 58% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 520 | |
| At least 60% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 600 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 400 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 400 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire Governor, Kelly Ayotte
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Famous Dems campaign for Pappas as NH's crucial Senate race hits final stretchThe campaign trail is heating up in New Hampshire as high-profile surrogates stump in the U.S. Senate race between Chris Pappas and John Sununu, which could have national implications. Two weeks until Election Day and New Hampshire's U.S… - Warmington slams Ayotte’s record on data centersGranite Post News Granite Post News Staff Democratic candidate for New Hampshire governor Cinde Warmington called out Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte for changing her stated position on data centers while also taking no meaningful action…
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Kamala Harris endorses Cinde Warmington for governor ahead of New Hampshire visitWMUR Ahead of her visit to New Hampshire this coming weekend, Kamala Harris gave her endorsement to Cinde Warmington, the Democratic nominee for governor of New Hampshire âAt a moment when rising costs are squeezing families in New… -
Conversations with the candidates: Ayotte on energy, housing, and childcareWith the Nov. 3 general election coming up, NHPR is sitting down with the candidates for governor to discuss top issues in the race and ask questions submitted by listeners and readers. Gov. Kelly Ayotte, a Republican from Nashua, is… -
Conversations with the candidates: Warmington on housing, ICE, and data centersWith the Nov. 3 general election coming up, NHPR is sitting down with the candidates for governor to discuss top issues in the race and ask questions submitted by listeners and readers. Cinde Warmington, an attorney and former executive… -
Ayotte urges X to suspend Libertarian group over violent postsMANCHESTER, N.H. — New Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte, a Republican, sent a letter on Thursday urging the social media company X to suspend a far-right Libertarian group’s account because it keeps endorsing political violence against… - Week in review: Utah public colleges told they can’t be sanctuary campusesThe number of universities facing a federal investigation into whether they're abusing the J-1 visa program, which allows higher education institutions to bring over foreign students, lecturers and researchers. During a press conference…
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Candidates agree the state should freeze new data center permits but differ on how quickly it should actIt was as if Connie Lane were standing on the precipice of the Grand Canyon, she said, staring in disbelief at its enormity. The hyperscale data center near Milwaukee, where Lane had been visiting with friends from law school for a June… -
Democratic Secretary of State Candidate Ryan Peterman Brings Campaign to AudubonThe Democratic candidate for Secretary of State, Ryan Peterman, brought his campaign to Audubon yesterday (Friday). Following high school, Peterman attended the United States Naval Academy in Annapolis, Md., and was commissioned as an… -
PODCAST: ‘Bleep’ Those Political Ads!NH Journal In a New Hampshire campaign season awash in attack ads and tens of millions of dollars, the commercial that breaks through might be the one that makes political professionals roll their eyes. That is communications strategist… -
NH Dem Candidates Rally with Calif. Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA) in Exeter, NHFrom left are: U.S. Sen. Maggie Hassan, U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas, Calif. Gov. Gavin Newsom, Stefany Shaheen and Cinde Warmington rally in Exeter Saturday. Part 1: New Hampshire Democratic candidates Chris Pappas for US Senate, Stefany… -
The Democrats Are Still Not Out of Danger With Their Own Senate SeatsPolitico, the hard-left, partisan Democrat Capitol Hill newspaper, has deep thoughts about their hero, Abdul El-Sayed, in their article titled “Washington Isn’t Ready for Abdul El-Sayed:” Well, that is one way to put it. Another way would…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.8%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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10.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions