Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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Maine Governor election: Hannah Pingree vote percent
The odds
54.65%median
44%66%
Median 54.65%Middle half 52.05% – 57.44%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.51% on Oct 19, 54.65% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 48% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 50% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 52% | 76% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 750 |
| At least 54% | 56% | ▲ 1 | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | |
| At least 56% | 37% | ▲ 1 | 32¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | |
| At least 58% | 21% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 60% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 62% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 600 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Governor, Hannah Pingree
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Maine Professional Fire Fighters union endorses Hannah Pingree for governor.newscentermaine.com Maine Professional Fire Fighters union endorses Hannah Pingree for governor. To stream NCM on your phone, you need the NCM app. Download the NCM app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before… - Gov. Hannah Pingree might just keep me in Maine | LetterI’ve grown up in rural Maine, and I can’t imagine living anywhere else. Now that I’m 17 and looking toward my future, I’m worried that I won’t be able to afford to stay in Maine. With skyrocketing housing prices, I might be priced out of…
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Independent Rick Bennett pushes common-ground politics in Maine governor bidBANGOR, Maine (WABI) - Independent candidate for governor Rick Bennett says it’s time for a different kind of politics — one that starts with common ground. Bennett says running without a party label lets him focus on Maine as a whole. He… -
Maine governor candidates lay out housing plans, budget prioritiesRenee joined Mainebiz in 2017 after more than two decades as a journalist in Europe and was promoted to deputy editor in 2025. She covers beats including startups, small business and banking and finance and has won several awards for her… -
Maine firefighters union endorses Collins, PingreeWELLS, Maine (WABI/WMTW) - The Professional Firefighters of Maine and International Association of Fire Fighters endorsed candidates from both parties Thursday, backing Sen. Susan Collins and gubernatorial candidate Hannah Pingree. Collins… -
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
What Mainers are saying ahead of the Nov. 3 election: LettersVoters in Wells have an opportunity to help the mobile home residents in their community. Article 6 on the November 3rd ballot is a proposed ordinance that will stabilize mobile home park lot rents and is available to read on the Wells… - Mills and Pingree prioritized safety over selfishness | LetterI must respond to Rick Savage’s Oct. 18 op-ed, “The Mills-Pingree machine crushed small business in Maine. Hannah Pingree will finish the job.” Before COVID-19, my family thought his brewery was adequate. But then he selfishly and…
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McGuinness welcomes Maine Governor to Leinster House for discussions on trade, maritime affairs and Irish unity – Conor D. McGuinness TDSinn Féin TD for Waterford Conor D. McGuinness welcomed Governor Janet Mills to Leinster House as part of his ongoing engagement to deepen relations between Ireland and the State of Maine. As Cathaoirleach of the Oireachtas Committee on… -
More tribal leaders step into Maine’s fraught Senate raceAmid a bruising and expensive knock-down-drag-out U.S. Senate race in Maine, Wabanaki leaders are stepping into the fray. It hasn’t been entirely smooth. Chief William Nicholas Sr., of the Passamaquoddy Tribe at Motahkomikuk (Indian… -
Independent candidates hold the key to our democracy | OpinionSam Hunkler of Beals was a 2022 independent candidate for Maine governor. It’s a squeal I often heard while collecting signatures to get on the ballot. “You’re going to split the vote,” a political party cry. One woman was beside herself… -
Maine News: Lewiston's Clerk Sets the Record Straight and Hands Out Rules for “Aides,” & Heating Oil Hits $6.04Then came the illegal electioneering. No word yet on whether the Maine Republican Party is going to do anything about the scene in Lewiston, but the Republican National Committee has posted a tweet. A Lewiston man who tried to pay people…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions