Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent
The odds
58.97%median
48%74%
Median 58.97%Middle half 56.11% – 62.41%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.69% on Oct 20, 58.97% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 52% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 200 | |
| At least 54% | 83% | ▼ 1 | 79¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 108 |
| At least 56% | 76% | 75¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 443 | |
| At least 58% | 57% | ▼ 1 | 53¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 2.0K |
| At least 60% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 1.3K | |
| At least 62% | 28% | ▼ 1 | 24¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 1.4K |
| At least 64% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 1.0K | |
| At least 66% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 2.2K | |
| At least 68% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 490 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 670 | ||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 83.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Idaho Governor, Brad Little
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Idaho governor candidates propose budget solutions ahead of upcoming electionKOOTENAI COUNTY, Idaho -- In 15 days, voters in Idaho will decide between the six candidates currently running for governor. Many of those candidates believe the state needs to move in a different direction. Some say the state has… -
Idaho Health and Welfare Director to step down later this yearIdaho Department of Health and Welfare Director Juliet Charron is leaving her job later this year. Boise State Public Radio first reported the news on Wednesday. A spokeswoman for Idaho Governor Brad Little says Charron is leaving to focus… -
Commentary: Idaho helped start the nuclear age. We should help write what comes next.In July, the U.S. Department of Energy named Idaho as a finalist to host one of three Nuclear Lifecycle Innovation Campuses. As former legal counsel for Idaho Gov. Butch Otter and administrator of the Idaho Governor’s Office of Species… -
What’s up with the Idaho Senate race?IDAHO - It’s a trend that’s taken on new life the election cycle, independent candidates running against establishment backed big names. Orion Donovan Smith, who's from Washington and writes for the The Spokesman-Review via the Report for… -
Cato report: 9 of 10 most free states in US are led by Republicans(The Center Square) – Nine of the ten “most free” states in the United States are led by Republicans, according to a new report released by the Cato Institute. By contrast, seven of the ten least free states are run by Democrats. Cato’s… -
Where are the debates? Idaho incumbents largely forgo debates and forums this yearOct. 23—During the 2026 election cycle, Idaho voters have had very few opportunities to see Republican incumbents answer questions at live, public events. For years it was the norm for major candidates in statewide and federal races to… -
Cato report: Nine of 10 most free states in US are led by RepublicansFrom left, John Janicki, Katy Janicki, Montana Gov. Greg Gianforte, and Nick Lavacca. Courtesy of the Office of Governor Greg Gianforte / Used with Permission (The Center Square) – Nine of the ten “most free” states in the United States… -
Opinion: They work for us. Someone should remind themEvery election season, I’m reminded of a truth some elected officials seem to have forgotten: they work for us. We sign the paychecks, and every couple of years we conduct the performance review. Hard to do when the employee won’t show up… -
Idaho Health and Welfare director to step down by end of 2026Idaho Department of Health and Welfare Director Juliet Charron is leaving her post after serving just over a year leading the state’s largest agency. Emily Callihan, Gov. Brad Little’s communications director, confirmed Charron’s departure… -
Cowardly candidates make weak leadersHaving the courage of your convictions should be a prerequisite for elected office. Yet courage seems increasingly rare in the Idaho Statehouse and U.S. Capitol. It doesn’t have to be that way. I’ve seen tremendous courage from Idaho… -
Idaho’s the ‘alpha and omega of nuclear’: Gov. Little pitches Nuclear Lifecycle Innovation Campus at Arco ‘Capital for a Day’ eventARCO, Idaho (KIFI) – Governor Brad Little and Lieutenant Governor Scott Bedke are making a big push to bring a massive new nuclear innovation campus to eastern Idaho. At Thursday's “Capital for a Day” event in Arco, state leaders tapped… -
Top U.S., state brass tour TerraPower Natrium Nuclear Plant with GatesDouglas Budget - Rural blaze destroys structures, threatens homes, forces hundreds to evacuate area - General manager Hinds resigns from Wyoming State Fair role, takes on new executive director postion at NICA - BrightNight to begin ISD…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18.13%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
30%65%
Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions