Hawaii Governor election: Josh Green vote percent

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $20 today · $284 traded · $231 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

The odds

66.57%median
56%76%
Median 66.57%Middle half 64.24% – 69.06%

How the odds have moved

Median: 66.48% on Oct 19, 66.57% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 58% 98% 95¢ $1.03 19.00
At least 60% 97% 93¢ $1.04
At least 62% 92% 88¢ 95¢ $1.05
At least 64% 78% ▲ 1 73¢ 82¢ $1.22
At least 66% 56% ▲ 4 52¢ 61¢ $1.64 293
At least 68% 34% ▲ 5 29¢ 38¢ $2.63 21.00
At least 70% 18% ▲ 7 13¢ 22¢ $4.55
At least 72% 10% ▲ 7 6¢ 14¢ $7.14 933
At least 74% 3% ▲ 1 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Hawaii Governor, Josh Green

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  • Hawaii Likely Needs $1B in Disaster Recovery, Resilience FundsCarrier Management · 5 days agoLate last month, Hawaii Governor Josh Green announced preliminary estimates suggesting $1 billion is needed to fund repair and mitigation following four major disasters that struck the Pacific island this year. Current estimates and…
  • Hawaii Democrats rally on westside as Election Day approaches@hawaiinewsnow · 4 days agoHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Democratic leaders gathered Wednesday to rally supporters and encourage voter participation ahead of the Nov. 3 general election. The rally at Kapolei High School brought together party leaders and supporters to…
  • State reaffirms commitment to foster youth policyThe Garden Island · 4 days agoPublished 12:04 am Saturday, October 24, 2026 By Department of Human Services, Special to The Garden Island HONOLULU — The Hawai‘i Department of Human Services (DHS) recently announced the state’s ongoing commitment to protecting Social…
  • Green aide files police report after scuffle with Cordery supporter@hawaiinewsnow · 5 days agoHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - A campaign aide to Gov. Josh Green has filed a police report after a scuffle with a supporter of Republican Gary Cordery. The incident happened Tuesday morning while Green was sign-waving on the median of…
  • GOP gubernatorial ticket targets government waste, vaccine mandates@hawaiinewsnow · 5 days agoHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Hawaii Gov. Josh Green has raised 10 times more campaign money than his Republican opponent, Gary Cordery. Cordery and his running mate, Daniel Anthony, have not been able to get a debate, so Hawaii News Now…
  • Two new council members to guide Hawaii’s Green Fee spending@hawaiinewsnow · 7 days agoHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Two new members will serve on the Green Fee Advisory Council for the next year. Governor Josh Green on Monday announced Cheryl Ka’uhane Lupenui and Samira Siale of the Kaua’i Visitors Bureau will serve on the…
  • Office of the Governor — News Release — Gov. Green Signs Legislation to Modernize Our Transportation Systemurl.avanan.click · 7 days agoSTATE OF HAWAIʻI KA MOKU ʻĀINA O HAWAIʻI JOSH GREEN, M.D. GOVERNOR GOVERNOR GREEN SIGNS LEGISLATION TO MODERNIZE OUR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE July 14, 2026 HONOLULU – Governor Josh Green today signed SB 2999, Act 258 and…
  • Hawaii primary races showed every vote counts in lackluster electionsYahoo News · 7 days agoHawaii could see a relatively ho-hum election on Nov. 3 with no presidential race at the top of the ballot, no major challengers for Gov. Josh Green or U.S. Rep. Ed Case, and a long-shot Republican bid against incumbent U.S. Rep. Jill…
  • Why these candidates want to be CEO on the Office of Hawaiian AffairsHawai'i Public Radio · 7 days agoThe search for a permanent CEO is coming to a close as the Office of Hawaiian Affairs Board of Trustees is expected to vote Thursday on the three finalists vying to help lead the agency’s mission of bettering the conditions of Native…
  • Hawaii’s Gun-Free School Laws Under Fire After Armed Father Stops Oregon ShooterAmmoLand Shooting Sports News · 8 days agoAn armed father’s intervention in Oregon has renewed questions about Hawaii’s school firearm restrictions, as national polling shows growing support for allowing teachers to carry. The October 15 school shooting in Bend, Oregon, has…
  • Letter: Immigrants give isles diversity, strengthHonolulu Star-Advertiser · 9 days agoA recent letter voiced concern about immigration enforcement policy (“Protect Hawaii from sanctuary state laws,” Star- Advertiser, Oct. 4). Gov. Josh Green’s signing of Act 141 to stop our local law enforcement from cooperating with…
  • Legislation Smoking out the VapeKa Leo O Hawaii · 10 days agoSmoke Break is a vape & accessories store, located on the mauka side of Ala Moana on Kona Street, Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2026. Smoke Break began in Kailua. Their first location opened in 2020, and they recently opened up their second location…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions