Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percent
The odds
60.58%median
52%72%
Median 60.58%Middle half 57.81% – 63.44%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.87% on Oct 20, 60.58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.1K |
| At least 56% | 90% | ▼ 1 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 1.4K |
| At least 58% | 74% | ▼ 4 | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 520 |
| At least 60% | 56% | ▼ 6 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 318 |
| At least 62% | 37% | ▼ 4 | 32¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 63.00 |
| At least 64% | 21% | ▼ 2 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 30.00 |
| At least 66% | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| At least 68% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Governor, Xavier Becerra
Search ›-
Inside Xavier Becerra’s secretive inner circle as Dem insiders jockey for plum gigs – before votes are even countedXavier Becerra hasn’t won the California governor’s race yet — but Sacramento political insiders are already scrambling for seats in his expected administration. Acolytes of Gov. Gavin Newsom, labor heavyweights and longtime Becerra… -
Xavier Becerra wants to be the 'health care governor'The former California attorney general split with Gov. Gavin Newsom on cutting Medicaid. Steve Jennings for POLITICO 08/27/2025 7:35 PM EDT SACRAMENTO, California —Xavier Becerra says he’s aiming for universal health care coverage as the… -
New poll shows gap stretching in California governor race — with just two weeks to goXavier Becerra has stretched his lead over Steve Hilton in the California governor’s race, according to a new poll. The Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted Oct. 17-19, shows the Democrat at 60% support compared to 33%… -
How would Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton manage California’s most precious resource, water?This story was originally published by CalMatters. California’s next governor must reckon with a state of extremes — where weather swings from drought to deluge, and water divides the land of backyard swimming pools from places where… -
Xavier Becerra tried to lock me up me for the crime of journalism — even the left called it ‘disturbing’California gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra says his campaign is a “break the glass” moment for the state. During his time as California Attorney General, Becerra tried to put me in jail for exercising my basic First Amendment… -
Xavier Becerra Hosts Meet-and-Greet with Black Leaders in L.A.Democratic gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra met with Black elected officials and faith, labor, civic and community leaders in South Los Angeles on Oct. 15, outlining his priorities for working families, education, housing and health… -
Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessnessSAN FRANCISCO (KGO) -- Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is making an ambitious promise to California voters on one of the states most visible issues. Within his first year in office, Hilton says he can effectively end mass… -
Xavier Becerra Meets Black L.A. Leaders, Outlines Plans for CaliforniaHe also pledged to defend diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) programs against federal opposition and tie state homelessness funding to results. Los Angeles County Supervisor Holly Mitchell introduced Becerra, citing his service in the… -
Election 2026: Here's where California gubernatorial candidates Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra stand on housing and homelessnessABC7 Los Angeles Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessness Becerra says prevention is key Program funding remains divided issue -
Becerra, Hilton campaign for California governor in Bay Area 2 weeks out from Election DayCBS News Becerra, Hilton campaign for California governor in Bay Area 2 weeks out from Election Day Tuesday evening First Alert weather forecast - 10/20/26 Oakland considers raising nuisance property fines to $10,000 a day San Mateo County… -
Steve Hilton demands laptop evidence over claims Xavier Becerra knew kids went to traffickersSteve Hilton is demanding federal officials turn over records — including a former federal contractor’s laptop — that he claims could expose what Xavier Becerra knew about migrant children being handed to traffickers during the Biden… -
Becerra Dominates Hilton in Recent Poll for California Governor RaceDemocrat Xavier Becerra beats Steve Hilton by 27 points as governor race rapidly approaches • 8 hours ago 60% of the voters polled are leaning toward Becerra while 33% will vote for Hilton. Seven percent are undecided. When undecided…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
16.22%median
8%28%
Median 16.22%Middle half 14.31% – 18.14%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.9% – 17.52%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.05%median
30%65%
Median 46.05%Middle half 43.07% – 48.94%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions