Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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California Governor election: Steve Hilton vote percent
The odds
38.26%median
28%48%
Median 38.26%Middle half 35.47% – 41.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 38.09% on Oct 19, 38.26% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 32% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 34% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 22.00 |
| At least 36% | 71% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 46.00 |
| At least 38% | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 678 | |
| At least 40% | 34% | ▼ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 243 |
| At least 42% | 19% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 90.00 |
| At least 44% | 8% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 79.00 |
| At least 46% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 671 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Governor, Steve Hilton
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Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor's raceRepublican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton discusses his campaign in the final days before the midterm elections. Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor’s race Republican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton… -
Steve Hilton unveils his vision for California bullet trainCalifornia gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is pitching a dramatic end to the state’s troubled high-speed rail project — imagining a future where the multibillion-dollar undertaking is transformed into a monument to government failure… -
Watch Steve Hilton's Latest Campaign Ad Masterpiece: Monument of Government FailuresBut the best part has to be Hilton's proposed solution for the disaster that is the California high speed railway: Closing down the project and labeling it the "Government Failures National Monument." That, right there, is great stuff… -
Republican Governor Candidate Steve Hilton Gets Applause From Bill Maher’s Liberal Audience for Saying He’ll Clean Up the Streets of California (VIDEO)Steve Hilton, the Republican gubernatorial candidate for California, appeared on the Bill Maher show on Friday night, and managed to get a round of applause from Maher’s liberal audience when he vowed to clean up the streets in the state… -
Steve Hilton discusses polls, ICE detentions in FOX26 exclusiveFRESNO, Calif. (FOX26) — With less than two weeks until Election Day, Republican candidate for California governor Steve Hilton is pushing back against polling showing him trailing Democrat Xavier Becerra. Hilton sat down with FOX26's… -
How would Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton manage California’s most precious resource, water?This story was originally published by CalMatters. California’s next governor must reckon with a state of extremes — where weather swings from drought to deluge, and water divides the land of backyard swimming pools from places where… -
New poll shows gap stretching in California governor race — with just two weeks to goXavier Becerra has stretched his lead over Steve Hilton in the California governor’s race, according to a new poll. The Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted Oct. 17-19, shows the Democrat at 60% support compared to 33%… -
Steve Hilton makes his pitch to replace Gavin Newsom as California's governorKTVU Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra go head to head in the California governor's race to replace Gavin Newsom. Hilton sat down for an interview to talk about how he plans to help Californians save money. -
Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessnessSAN FRANCISCO (KGO) -- Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is making an ambitious promise to California voters on one of the states most visible issues. Within his first year in office, Hilton says he can effectively end mass… -
Election 2026: Here's where California gubernatorial candidates Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra stand on housing and homelessnessABC7 Los Angeles Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessness Becerra says prevention is key Program funding remains divided issue -
‘Please Win’: Steve Hilton’s Vow to Reverse Gavin Newsom’s Prison Closures Draws Support and Pushback in CaliforniaIn the post, Hilton replies to Governor Gavin Newsom’s announcement of an executive order on public safety. He states, “Thanks, but we got this. As the next governor, I will reverse your insane and destructive prison closure program so we… -
Bombshell poll finds California voters say state is heading in the wrong direction — but election numbers tell a different storyDemocrat Xavier Becerra has opened up a commanding lead over Republican Steve Hilton in the race for California governor – despite Californians being so fed up with the direction of the Golden State that nearly half have seriously…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
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Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
30%65%
Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions