Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent
The odds
53.18%median
44%66%
Median 53.18%Middle half 51% – 55.29%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.23% on Oct 20, 53.18% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 48% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | 19.00 | ||
| At least 50% | 85% | 81¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 5.1K | |
| At least 52% | 65% | 61¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 255 | |
| At least 54% | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 30.00 | |
| At least 56% | 17% | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 8.00 | |
| At least 58% | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 5.00 |
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 168 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 372 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 455 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arizona Governor, Katie Hobbs
Search ›-
Katie Hobbs Leads for Arizona GovernorA new Red Box Research (D) poll in Arizona finds Katie Hobbs (D) leading Andy Biggs (R) in the governor’s race, 47% to 42%. Arizona Governor’s Race Katie Hobbs (D) 47% Andy Biggs (R) 42% Red Box Research poll · likely voters · ±3.7% A new… -
'We need Gov. Katie Hobbs': Mesa mom praises program that erased $1 billion in medical debtPHOENIX (KNXV) — In the final stretch of the Arizona governor race, Democrats say Gov. Katie Hobbs has done more than U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs to help Arizonans with affordability. Bryanna Hoover, an East Mesa mother of two, joined two… -
Arizona Midterm Polls 2026: Who is Katie Hobbs? Democrat outspends Republican rival Andy Biggs in race for governor as she seeks second term in office; all you need to knowArizona's 2026 midterm elections are set for November 3, where voters will select crucial officials. Governor Katie Hobbs seeks re-election against Republican Andy Biggs. Hobbs has a notable advantage, outspending Biggs by $12 million in… -
Katie Hobbs Invests $16 Million to Fight HomelessnessGovernor Katie Hobbs (D-AZ) has announced a $16 million investment to fight homelessness in Arizona. The money, drawn from the State Housing Trust Fund, will go to various civic organizations and charities that shelter and help the… -
Watch: Arizona Governor-Aligned Canvassers Caught Willing To Allow Noncitizens To VoteCanvassers registering voters for groups backing Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs's re-election told undercover Muckraker journalists posing as a non-citizen and as a felon on probation that they could go ahead and register to vote, hidden-camera… - Watch: Pro-Katie Hobbs Canvassers Are Willing to Let Noncitizens, Felons VoteUndercover video captured canvassers aligned with Gov. Katie Hobbs (D-Ariz.) saying they don’t believe in asking about immigration status or actively encouraging self-identified noncitizens and felons to register and vote. All of that, of…
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Katie Hobbs Allies Caught Encouraging Noncitizens and Felons to Vote [WATCH]Undercover video released by Muckraker is raising new questions about voter registration practices in Arizona after canvassers aligned with Gov. Katie Hobbs were recorded discussing immigration status, convicted felons, and voter… -
MUST WATCH: Katie Hobbs Canvassers Busted by Muckraker Trying to Register Felons and Noncitizens to Vote – Hobbs RUNS When Confronted!Muckraker on Thursday published an election report out of Arizona, using undercover reporters to catch the Democratic Party, nonprofit groups, and labor unions backing Incumbent Governor Katie Hobbs, attempting to illegally register… -
New York’s Kathy Hochul ranked worst governor in US as part of scathing new studyGov. Kathy Hochul was ranked the worst state leader in the US for protecting constituents’ freedoms, a scathing new study found. Hochul ranked No. 50 in the Cato’s Institute’s 2026 “Freedom in the 50 States” list, scoring an “F” and… - Andy Biggs Pledges to Sign Vetoed Bills as Arizona GovernorNot every piece of GOP legislation needs Hobbs' signature to move forward, however. Legislative leaders passed seven resolutions along party lines this year that bypass her veto entirely and go straight to voters, the Arizona Mirror…
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Arizona lawmaker urges Gov. Hobbs to declare state of emergency after Heber-Overgaard tornadoAfter an EF1 tornado struck Heber-Overgaard with 110 mph winds, Rep. Walt Blackman is calling on Gov. Katie Hobbs to declare a state of emergency. FOX 10's Andrew Christiansen reports. NAVAJO COUNTY, Ariz. - The National Weather Service… -
Katie Hobbs says she won’t debate Andy Biggs, opting instead to tour the stateFor the second election cycle in a row, Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs is refusing to debate her Republican opponent. Hobbs narrowly won the governor’s seat by about 17,000 votes in 2022 after she declined to share a debate stage with Republican…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions