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Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.52% on Oct 20, 45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 38% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 164 |
| At least 42% | 82% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 432 |
| At least 44% | 62% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 1.9K |
| At least 46% | 39% | ▲ 1 | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 2.3K |
| At least 48% | 19% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 698 |
| At least 50% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 618 | |
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 205 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alabama Governor, Doug Jones
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‘You Owe the People of Alabama Some Answers’: In Solo Virtual Debate, Doug Jones Makes Direct Address to Tommy TubervilleBy Shauna Stuart | For the Birmingham Times With less than 14 days before the Alabama governor’s race, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones used part of his Wednesday campaign stop in Birmingham to address his opponent, Republican… -
Gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones holds town hall in TuscaloosaQ&A with Homecoming candidate Kameron Baba Q&A with Homecoming candidate Rylie Dewley Q&A with Homecoming candidate Emie Vandiver Q&A with Homecoming candidate Savannah Strong Injury report for Alabama football ahead of Tennessee showdown… -
Doug Jones campaigns in Eufaula, cites farming, health care, data centersEUFALA, Ala. (WTVM) - Alabama gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones made a stop in Eufaula as part of his campaign trail. Jones is the Democratic nominee running against Republican nominee Tommy Tuberville. Jones stopped in Barbour County as… - Tuberville Leads Jones in New Alabama Governor PollRepublican Tommy Tuberville holds an 11-point lead over Democrat Doug Jones in the race for Alabama governor, according to a new poll of 500 likely voters conducted Oct. 16 and 17. The survey found 51.2% backing Tuberville compared to 40%…
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Doug Jones hosts 20th town hall in Tuscaloosa ahead of Nov. 3 matchup against TubervilleMore than 300 attendees packed into a University of Alabama lecture hall greeted former U.S. Sen. Doug Jones with a standing ovation Monday, starting off the Democratic gubernatorial candidate's town hall with optimism that carried… - Alabama governor race 2026: Tuberville vs. Jones on key issuesAlabama voters will head to the polls Nov. 3 to choose a governor, with Republican Tommy Tuberville and Democrat Doug Jones offering different plans for the state's economy, education system, health care and government. Tuberville, a U.S…
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Alabama governor calls special primary for new House districtsMost of the southern states have moved to redraw their maps in response to the Supreme Court's narrowing of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act to eliminate race-based districts. Alabama governor calls special primary for new House… -
Alabama's Doug Jones holds his own debate without his opponent, Tommy TubervilleWith Alabama's general election less than two weeks away, efforts to organize a gubernatorial debate between Democratic candidate Doug Jones and Republican candidate Tommy Tuberville have fallen through. While Jones agreed to participate… -
Doug Jones holds quasi-virtual debate with absent TubervilleAlabama unveils America 250 “I Voted” stickers for 2026 election NFIB PAC backs Corey Hill for Alabama agriculture commissioner Ivey commutes death sentence of Toforest Johnson Ivey opens Alabama Academy of Honor induction ceremony Sen… -
Tommy Tuberville wins Republican nomination for Alabama governor: APThe victory comes after President Donald Trump endorsed Tuberville in January, and endorsed Alabama GOP Rep. Barry Moore to replace him in the Senate. Tommy Tuberville wins Republican nomination for Alabama governor: AP The victory comes… -
State Sen. Sam Givhan slaps down Doug Jones’ false grocery tax claim: ‘Couldn’t have happened without Republicans’State Sen. Sam Givhan (R-Huntsville) is firing back at Doug Jones’ wild claim that Republican leaders dragged their feet on killing the state’s grocery tax. Givhan joined Alabama Speaker of the House Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville) and… -
Tuberville Says He Has a Plan for Alabama’s Future — and Doug Jones Doesn’tTuberville revealed that he has spent the past year and a half preparing to govern Alabama. With just 14 days remaining until the November 3 election, Senator Tommy Tuberville delivered a passionate message Monday evening at a Republican…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions