Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.5median
140230
Median 189.5Middle half 177.0 – 200.8
Install
Will Trump visit Greenland?
The odds
35%Before Jan 20, 2029
- Before Jan 1, 20276%
- Before Jan 1, 202813%
- Before Jan 20, 202935%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 7% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 3.5K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 3.5K | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 35% | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Greenland
Search ›-
REG - L1 Group Limited Greenland Energy Co. - Form 8.3 Greenland Energy CoWarrants GGLNDW, exercise price US$5.00, expiring 29 April 2031 Common stock of US$0.0001 par value GLND DETAILS OF OPEN OPTIONS POSITIONS, DERIVATIVES AND AGREEMENTS TO PURCHASE OR SELL RELEVANT SECURITIES Note 5(a) on Rule 8 of the… -
Greenland's Parliament Halts Seabed Mining Until 2029The parliament cited the need to protect the island's marine environment and preserve fish welfare as the primary reason behind the mandate. Greenland’s parliament unanimously passed a resolution instructing its government to draft a law… -
Greenland Mines (NASDAQ: GRML) (FSE: HK6) Welcomes Trump Comments on Greenland Mineral Exploration and Strategic ImportanceThe Globe and Mail Greenland Mines (NASDAQ: GRML) (FSE: HK6) Welcomes Trump Comments on Greenland Mineral Exploration and Strategic Importance Greenland Mines (NASDAQ: GRML) (FSE: HK6) applauded President Donald Trump’s comments… -
US Faces Greenland Undersea Cable Security Risks: ReportA report raises concerns about undersea cable security in Greenland, where the United States maintains a key space base. What would you like to watch today? US Faces Greenland Undersea Cable Security Risks: Report Riots Erupt Across… -
TRUMP UNVEILS GREENLAND PLANS: Major Oil and Mineral Exploration to Begin Under New AgreementPresident Donald Trump announced Wednesday that preparations are underway for extensive oil, natural gas, and mineral exploration in Greenland, describing the territory as potentially containing enormous untapped energy resources and… - Trump got a Greenland deal, but he can't buy back trustDenmark's “almost blind" faith in the U.S. is unlikely to recover quickly, with a newly inked security agreement failing to quell unease over American intentions. (CN) — Greenland’s Parliament is debating whether to sign off on a newly…
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US Security Concerns as Risks Arise Over Greenland's Undersea CablesA new report raises security concerns over undersea cables in Greenland, where the United States maintains a key space base. What would you like to watch today? US Security Concerns as Risks Arise Over Greenland's Undersea Cables A new… -
Trump Looks Bad Now: Greenland Annoucement for ‘Massive Oil, Gas and Mineral Exploration’ Looks Like Total Hot AirDenmark has reaffirmed its sovereignty over Greenland after President Trump said “massive” oil, gas and mineral exploration was about to begin there. Copenhagen says the new deal gives US investors no preferential treatment, and… -
Greenland Mines Shares Begin Trading on Xetra in GermanyA global, not only European, investor gateway For investors in Asia and the Middle East in particular, Xetra’s trading hours overlap with the business day in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Riyadh, Hong Kong and Shanghai for a substantially longer… -
MACDONALD: Trump Got GreenlandNews – Politics – Opinion – Podcasts The one Trump said he wanted for America. Buy it, take it; it was going to be ours. No question in his mind. The media and the elites, especially the Euro-weenies, lost their collectivist minds. They… -
16,000 Whales Swarm Greenland Waters That Were Once Locked in IceClimate change is altering the planet as air and ocean temperatures rise. This trend tends to harm plants and animals as their habitats change. But some whales are actually benefitting, as warming seas turn Greenland waters into a… -
Australian miner to take majority stake in Greenland rare earths projectAustralia’s AuKing Mining has agreed to fund exploration at a niobium and rare earths project near Maniitsoq in West Greenland in return for a 75% stake, Sermitsiaq reported Monday. The 64-square-kilometer Qeqertaasaq license belongs to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions